Microsoft is Dead
afonsinho Escreveu:Fala-se muito no OpenSource... mas normalmente essas pessoas que tão bem falam do OpenSource têm Windows no PC deles (não contando com os geeks e os nerds). Uso Linux por questões profissionais e uma coisa posso afirmar, mesmo os sistemas com grafismo reforçado e mais "user friendly", estão a léguas do Windows. Só mesmo os "nerds" é que usam Linux como se fosse religioso. Não consigo ver sistemas operativos OpenSource a fazerem mossa no mercado da Microsoft e a Apple num futuro próximo.
Uma coisa é certa, o efeito bola de neve está agora a começar. Caso não existisse pirataria no mundo a Microsoft não tinha a base instalada actual.
Fala-se muito no OpenSource... mas normalmente essas pessoas que tão bem falam do OpenSource têm Windows no PC deles (não contando com os geeks e os nerds
). Uso Linux por questões profissionais e uma coisa posso afirmar, mesmo os sistemas com grafismo reforçado e mais "user friendly", estão a léguas do Windows. Só mesmo os "nerds" é que usam Linux como se fosse religioso. Não consigo ver sistemas operativos OpenSource a fazerem mossa no mercado da Microsoft e a Apple num futuro próximo.
- Mensagens: 357
- Registado: 3/9/2006 1:50
Microsoft Offers $3 Software Package for Developing Countrie
E não é que já começam a "tremer"
Concorrer com o OpenSource não é fácil.
Brevemente deverá lançar qualquer coisa concorrente ao One Laptop per Child (OLPC)
ttp://laptop.media.mit.edu/
Concorrer com o OpenSource não é fácil.
Microsoft Offers $3 Software Package for Developing Countries
Microsoft is expanding its "Unlimited Potential" initiative to include offering a software package, the Student Innovation Suite, to governments and students in emerging countries across the world at a price of just $3.
http://www.eweek.com/article2/0,1895,2115695,00.asp
Brevemente deverá lançar qualquer coisa concorrente ao One Laptop per Child (OLPC)
ttp://laptop.media.mit.edu/
Why to not not start a startup
Se se interessaram pelo artigo anterior do Paul Graham certamente gostarão deste:
http://www.paulgraham.com/notnot.html
http://www.paulgraham.com/notnot.html
- Mensagens: 9
- Registado: 23/12/2004 1:36
Re: Microsoft is Dead
ArturCarvalho Escreveu:- Não quero pôr informação sensível na internet.
Exacto,
concordo especialmente neste aspecto, devido ao aumento da insegurança na internet...virus, hackers e afins
Pensa como pensam os sábios, mas fala como falam as pessoas simples.(Aristóteles)
Re: Microsoft is Dead
Keyser Soze Escreveu: pois, como se sabe, as aplicações web estão a caminho de tornarem o desktop praticamente obsoleto.
Discordo. As aplicações web servem um fim, as desktop outro, as web têm vindo a ganhar algum mercado, mas não passa disso.
O senhor Paul Graham vende muito bem o peixe dele, e o peixe dele está na web. Eu uso muitos programas web, mas tão cedo não vão substituir os que uso no desktop. Por vários motivos:
- Quero ter a potência do meu computador, um browser demora a obter informação da net e ver o email no gmail não é o mesmo que ver no Outlook ou Mail (Mac OS X).
- Não quero pôr informação sensível na internet.
- Quero trabalhar off line. Falhas de ligação ainda são muito frequentes e a largura de banda insuficiente. Já faltou mais para chegar esse dia, mas ainda está longe.
Os cds com o aparecimento do dvd já deviam ter ficado obsoletos há muito tempo e ainda andam aí alguns
Se o dvd faz tudo que o cd faz mas melhor e mesmo assim os cds ainda não arrumaram, como é que aplicações na web substituem algo que funciona melhor em muitas circunstâncias?
Bons negócios. http://www.arturcarvalho.com
Mas não há fumo sem fogo...
Microsoft admits Vista failure
E mais ainda:
Dell brings back XP on home systems
Microsoft admits Vista failure
E mais ainda:
Dell brings back XP on home systems
Amid significant customer demand, the computer maker said on Thursday that it has returned to offering the older Windows version as an option on some of its consumer PCs.
Like most computer makers, Dell switched nearly entirely to Vista-based systems following Microsoft's mainstream launch of the operating system in January. However, the company said its customers have been asking for XP as part of its IdeaStorm project, which asks customers to help the company come up with product ideas.
"We heard you loud and clear on bringing the Windows XP option back to our Dell consumer PC offerings," Dell said on its Ideas in Action page. Users get to vote on various suggestions, and the notion of bringing back XP got 10,000 "points," making it among the most popular requests but well below top picks such as adding Linux or OpenOffice.org to its PCs.
As pessoas são tão ingénuas e tão agarradas aos seus interesses imediatos que um vigarista hábil consegue sempre que um grande número delas se deixe enganar.
Niccolò Machiavelli
http://www.facebook.com/atomez
Niccolò Machiavelli
http://www.facebook.com/atomez
O outro lado da história
Lei da Gravidade, revisitada :
1º Tudo o que subiu, cai por si.
2º Tudo o que caiu, só sobe se impulsionado.
1º Tudo o que subiu, cai por si.
2º Tudo o que caiu, só sobe se impulsionado.
Microsoft is Dead
Excelente este artigo de Paul Graham sobre o declínio da Microsoft.
Nele, Graham aponta as razões para a “morte” da Microsoft:
1. Google
2. Ajax (que, ironicamente, foi criado pela própria Microsoft)
3. Internet de banda larga
4. Apple
É inegável que a Microsoft não tem rival à altura naquele que é o seu “core business”, o Windows e o Office, por isso, decretar a morte de uma empresa que continua a facturar milhões é um pouco rebuscado.
No entanto, a aparente ausência de uma estratégia para a web, onde o Google é rei e senhor, poderá causar, no médio-longo prazo, alguns dissabores à Microsoft, pois, como se sabe, as aplicações web estão a caminho de tornarem o desktop praticamente obsoleto.
http://teknologico.net/2007/04/sistemas ... t-is-dead/
Microsoft is Dead
April 2007
A few days ago I suddenly realized Microsoft was dead. I was talking to a young startup founder about how Google was different from Yahoo. I said that Yahoo had been warped from the start by their fear of Microsoft. That was why they'd positioned themselves as a "media company" instead of a technology company. Then I looked at his face and realized he didn't understand. It was as if I'd told him how much girls liked Barry Manilow in the mid 80s. Barry who?
Microsoft? He didn't say anything, but I could tell he didn't quite believe anyone would be frightened of them.
Microsoft cast a shadow over the software world for almost 20 years starting in the late 80s. I can remember when it was IBM before them. I mostly ignored this shadow. I never used Microsoft software, so it only affected me indirectly—for example, in the spam I got from botnets. And because I wasn't paying attention, I didn't notice when the shadow disappeared.
But it's gone now. I can sense that. No one is even afraid of Microsoft anymore. They still make a lot of money—so does IBM, for that matter. But they're not dangerous.
When did Microsoft die, and of what? I know they seemed dangerous as late as 2001, because I wrote an essay then about how they were less dangerous than they seemed. I'd guess they were dead by 2005. I know when we started Y Combinator we didn't worry about Microsoft as competition for the startups we funded. In fact, we've never even invited them to the demo days we organize for startups to present to investors. We invite Yahoo and Google and some other Internet companies, but we've never bothered to invite Microsoft. Nor has anyone there ever even sent us an email. They're in a different world.
What killed them? Four things, I think, all of them occurring simultaneously in the mid 2000s.
The most obvious is Google. There can only be one big man in town, and they're clearly it. Google is the most dangerous company now by far, in both the good and bad senses of the word. Microsoft can at best limp along afterward.
When did Google take the lead? There will be a tendency to push it back to their IPO in August 2004, but they weren't setting the terms of the debate then. I'd say they took the lead in 2005. Gmail was one of the things that put them over the edge. Gmail showed they could do more than search.
Gmail also showed how much you could do with web-based software, if you took advantage of what later came to be called "Ajax." And that was the second cause of Microsoft's death: everyone can see the desktop is over. It now seems inevitable that applications will live on the web—not just email, but everything, right up to Photoshop. Even Microsoft sees that now.
Ironically, Microsoft unintentionally helped create Ajax. The x in Ajax is from the XMLHttpRequest object, which lets the browser communicate with the server in the background while displaying a page. (Originally the only way to communicate with the server was to ask for a new page.) XMLHttpRequest was created by Microsoft in the late 90s because they needed it for Outlook. What they didn't realize was that it would be useful to a lot of other people too—in fact, to anyone who wanted to make web apps work like desktop ones.
The other critical component of Ajax is Javascript, the programming language that runs in the browser. Microsoft saw the danger of Javascript and tried to keep it broken for as long as they could. [1] But eventually the open source world won, by producing Javascript libraries that grew over the brokenness of Explorer the way a tree grows over barbed wire.
The third cause of Microsoft's death was broadband Internet. Anyone who cares can have fast Internet access now. And the bigger the pipe to the server, the less you need the desktop.
The last nail in the coffin came, of all places, from Apple. Thanks to OS X, Apple has come back from the dead in a way that is extremely rare in technology. [2] Their victory is so complete that I'm now surprised when I come across a computer running Windows. Nearly all the people we fund at Y Combinator use Apple laptops. It was the same in the audience at startup school. All the computer people use Macs or Linux now. Windows is for grandmas, like Macs used to be in the 90s. So not only does the desktop no longer matter, no one who cares about computers uses Microsoft's anyway.
And of course Apple has Microsoft on the run in music too, with TV and phones on the way.
I'm glad Microsoft is dead. They were like Nero or Commodus—evil in the way only inherited power can make you. Because remember, the Microsoft monopoly didn't begin with Microsoft. They got it from IBM. The software business was overhung by a monopoly from about the mid-1950s to about 2005. For practically its whole existence, that is. One of the reasons "Web 2.0" has such an air of euphoria about it is the feeling, conscious or not, that this era of monopoly may finally be over.
Of course, as a hacker I can't help thinking about how something broken could be fixed. Is there some way Microsoft could come back? In principle, yes. To see how, envision two things: (a) the amount of cash Microsoft now has on hand, and (b) Larry and Sergey making the rounds of all the search engines ten years ago trying to sell the idea for Google for a million dollars, and being turned down by everyone.
The surprising fact is, brilliant hackers—dangerously brilliant hackers—can be had very cheaply, by the standards of a company as rich as Microsoft. So if they wanted to be a contender again, this is how they could do it:
1. Buy all the good "Web 2.0" startups. They could get substantially all of them for less than they'd have to pay for Facebook.
2. Put them all in a building in Silicon Valley, surrounded by lead shielding to protect them from any contact with Redmond.
I feel safe suggesting this, because they'd never do it. Microsoft's biggest weakness is that they still don't realize how much they suck. They still think they can write software in house. Maybe they can, by the standards of the desktop world. But that world ended a few years ago.
I already know what the reaction to this essay will be. Half the readers will say that Microsoft is still an enormously profitable company, and that I should be more careful about drawing conclusions based on what a few people think in our insular little "Web 2.0" bubble. The other half, the younger half, will complain that this is old news.
Notes
[1] It doesn't take a conscious effort to make software incompatible. All you have to do is not work too hard at fixing bugs—which, if you're a big company, you produce in copious quantities. The situation is analogous to the writing of "literary theorists." Most don't try to be obscure; they just don't make an effort to be clear. It wouldn't pay.
[2] In part because Steve Jobs got pushed out by John Sculley in a way that's rare among technology companies. If Apple's board hadn't made that blunder, they wouldn't have had to bounce back.
http://www.paulgraham.com/microsoft.html
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