12:30 Dados States
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Parece que afinal a coisa nem foi tão má quanto isso...senão isto tinha tudo desatado a vender.
Mas pode ser que isto ainda venha por aí a baixo (assim o espero "for the sake of consolidation"!)
Vamos a ver o que Philadelphia tem para dizer. A não ser que seja mesmo muito positivo ou negativo, não acredito que venha a influenciar muito a direcção dos mercados pelo facto de que o povo vai estar agora à espera dos dados do indice de prços no consumidor amanha de manha, penso eu de que.
Mas pode ser que isto ainda venha por aí a baixo (assim o espero "for the sake of consolidation"!)
Vamos a ver o que Philadelphia tem para dizer. A não ser que seja mesmo muito positivo ou negativo, não acredito que venha a influenciar muito a direcção dos mercados pelo facto de que o povo vai estar agora à espera dos dados do indice de prços no consumidor amanha de manha, penso eu de que.
"The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent." - Keynes
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- Mensagens: 456
- Registado: 5/11/2002 17:43
- Localização: 1
13:41
Análisis del dato de paro semanal [Imprimir comentario]
El número de peticiones de subsidio de paro bajan 12.000 personas hasta las 318.000 bastante menos de lo esperado que eran 330.000.
La media de cuatro semanas se modera considerablemente en 10.250 personas hasta las 329.250, pero sigue en un nivel alto.
Dato bueno para bolsas y dólar y malo para bonos.
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13:39
Análisis del dato de Empire State. [Imprimir comentario]
El indicado de manufacturas Empire State de la FED de Nueva York da otro buen susto ya que baja de forma inesperada de 24,35 a 1,85, muchísimo peor de lo esperadoque era 17,75.
Estamos hablando del indicador más bajo desde mayo del 2005.
El indicador de empleo baja de 12,70 a 11,37.
El indicador de precios pagados sube de 26,86 a 30,23, redodenado lo malo que es el dato pues muestra inflación al alza en el sector y crecimiento fuertemente a la baja.
En suma otro dato más que muestra una fuerte debilidad del sector industrial y son muchos ya en esta línea y que además como ha pasado con el dato anterior del PPI muestra que las industrias tienen ya dificultades para asumir la subida de los precios de la energía.
Malo para bolsas y dólar y bueno para bonos.
[ Subir ]
13:36
Análisis del dato de PPI [Imprimir comentario]
Los precios de producción de febrero suben de forma inesperada el 1,3 %s frente a la bajada del -0,6 %s del mes anterior debido a la fuerte subida de los precios relacionados con el petróleo del 8,9%s. El subindicador de energía sube 3,5 %s y el de gasolina 5,3 %s.
La distorsión de la energía es clara pero el problema es que si quitamos los volátiles precios de alimentación y energía la subida es de+0,4 %s frente al +0,2 %s del mes anterior y el doble de lo esperado.
En interanuales no llega la sangre al río ya que la del generales del 2,5 %s y la subyacente del 1,8%s que están dentro de lo normal, pero aún así el dato es una sorpresa desagradable, muy desagradable para la economía.
Dato muy malo para bolsa y bonos, y muy bueno para dólar y que solo le salva el hecho de que las interanuales aún sean más o menos normales.
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- Mensagens: 3299
- Registado: 8/2/2006 17:32
cont
ECONOMIC REPORT: Jobless claims decline 12,000 to 318,000; Smoothed level of continuing claims remains at one-year high
By Rex Nutting, MarketWatch Last Update: 8:30 AM ET Mar 15, 2007
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - The number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits fell by 12,000 last week to 318,000, the lowest in five weeks, the Labor Department reported Thursday.
The four-week average of initial claims - considered a better gauge of underlying conditions in the labor market because it smoothes out temporary distortions such as weather or holidays - fell by 10,250 to 329,250 after hitting a 17-month high of 339,500 the previous week.
There were no special factors affecting claims this past week, a Labor Department spokesman said.
Meanwhile, the number of Americans collecting unemployment checks in the week ending March 3 increased by 48,000 to 2.58 million. The four-week average of continuing claims edged up by 5,500 to 2.56 million, the highest since January 2006.
The insured unemployment rate - the portion of all workers covered by unemployment insurance who are collecting benefits - climbed back to 2.0% from 1.9%. That matches the highest rate in this business cycle.
Economists aren't sure whether the recent increase in unemployment claims is just noise in the data caused by bad weather and the timing of holidays, or is a sign that labor markets are finally weakening in response to slower growth. The fact that initial claims have fallen in three of the past four weeks is encouraging, but the rise in continuing claims is unsettling.
Other signals from the labor market have been mixed, in part because of big swings in the weather. In February, nonfarm payrolls rose by 97,000, the weakest growth in two years, while the unemployment rate fell back to 4.5%, largely because fewer people were looking for work.
Initial claims represent job destruction, while the level of continuing claims indicates how hard or easy it is for displaced workers to find new jobs.
Compared with the same time last year, initial claims are up about 7% while continuing claims are up about 3%.
Long-term unemployment has been stubbornly high during this expansion, despite the decrease in the unemployment rate to 4.5%. In February, about 31% of the 6.9 million official unemployed people had been out of work longer than 15 weeks, while 18%, or 1.2 million, had been out of work longer than 27 weeks.
Typically, unemployment benefits run out after 26 weeks for those who are eligible. Those who exhaust their unemployment benefits are still counted as unemployed if they are looking for work.
ECONOMIC REPORT: New York factory activity comes to standstill in March; Empire State index plunges to 1.9, lowest since May 2005
By Greg Robb, MarketWatch Last Update: 8:30 AM ET Mar 15, 2007
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - Manufacturing activity in the New York area came to a virtual standstill in March, the New York Federal Reserve Bank said Thursday.
The bank's Empire State Manufacturing index fell sharply to 1.9 in March from 24.4 in February.
The index fell to its lowest level since May 2005. Readings over zero indicate expansion.
The size of the decline surprised economists. Economists were forecasting the index to slip to 19.0.
The new orders index also fell sharply and the shipments and unfilled orders indexes also declined.
The prices paid index inched upwards.
Expectations of price increases over the next six months also increased, suggesting that factory owners expect price pressures to accelerate.
March's Empire State new orders index fell to 3.1 from 18.9. Shipments fell to 18.5 from 27.1 in February.
The employment index fell slightly to 11.4 in March from 12.7 in February.
Survey respondents expected business conditions to continue to improve over the next six months.
The future index for general business conditions fell to 35.2 in March from 38.5 in the previous month.
ECONOMIC REPORT: Producer prices unexpectedly jump 1.3%; Core PPI up 0.4% on higher prices for trucks, capital goods, tobacco
By Rex Nutting, MarketWatch Last Update: 8:30 AM ET Mar 15, 2007
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - Wholesale prices unexpectedly jumped 1.3% in February, the Labor Department reported Thursday.
Increases in the producer price index for finished goods were broad-based. Energy prices rose 3.5%. Food prices rose 1.9%. Capital equipment prices rose 0.3%.
Economists surveyed by MarketWatch were expecting a gain of about 0.6% in the PPI.
Producer prices excluding food and energy were up 0.4%, twice the 0.2% gain in the core PPI that was expected.
The report will keep the pressure on the Federal Reserve to remain vigilant on inflation, even as the economy shows signs of slowing. The PPI is not the Fed's focus; the real issue is what consumer prices do. The PPI measures prices in the production pipeline, not at the retail level.
The government will report on the consumer price index on Friday. It's expected to rise 0.3% for overall inflation, and 0.2% for core inflation excluding food and energy prices.
The Fed meets next week to discuss monetary policy. No change is expected in the Fed's target interest rate of 5.25%.
The PPI has swung wildly in the past six months, driven largely by movements in energy prices. The PPI fell 0.6% in January and rose 0.9% in December. Prices are up 2.5% in the past 12 months, the biggest year-on-year gain since August.
Core prices are up 1.8% in the past 12 months, matching January's year-on-year increase.
Most of the damage was in food and energy prices. Energy prices increased 3.5%, including a 5.3% rise in wholesale gasoline prices and a 4.1% increase in residential natural gas prices.
Food prices rose 1.9%, as prices for unprocessed foods rose 11.2%. Fruit prices rose 15.7% and fresh vegetable prices rose 8.3%. Pasta prices rose 4.3%, the most in 11 years.
But other consumer prices were also rising. Cigarette prices rose 4.6%, the biggest gain in six years. Toy prices rose 2.3%, the most in 24 years.
Car prices fell 1.2%.
Prices of intermediate goods destined for further processing before final sale rose 1.1%, on a 4.5% rise in energy goods and a 2.6% increase in intermediate foods prices. Core intermediate prices - considered one of the best gauges of future inflation - rose 0.2%. The core intermediate PPI is up 3.7% in the past year.
Crude goods prices rose 8.9% as crude energy prices rose 13.7%. Basic industrial materials prices rose 2.7%
By Rex Nutting, MarketWatch Last Update: 8:30 AM ET Mar 15, 2007
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - The number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits fell by 12,000 last week to 318,000, the lowest in five weeks, the Labor Department reported Thursday.
The four-week average of initial claims - considered a better gauge of underlying conditions in the labor market because it smoothes out temporary distortions such as weather or holidays - fell by 10,250 to 329,250 after hitting a 17-month high of 339,500 the previous week.
There were no special factors affecting claims this past week, a Labor Department spokesman said.
Meanwhile, the number of Americans collecting unemployment checks in the week ending March 3 increased by 48,000 to 2.58 million. The four-week average of continuing claims edged up by 5,500 to 2.56 million, the highest since January 2006.
The insured unemployment rate - the portion of all workers covered by unemployment insurance who are collecting benefits - climbed back to 2.0% from 1.9%. That matches the highest rate in this business cycle.
Economists aren't sure whether the recent increase in unemployment claims is just noise in the data caused by bad weather and the timing of holidays, or is a sign that labor markets are finally weakening in response to slower growth. The fact that initial claims have fallen in three of the past four weeks is encouraging, but the rise in continuing claims is unsettling.
Other signals from the labor market have been mixed, in part because of big swings in the weather. In February, nonfarm payrolls rose by 97,000, the weakest growth in two years, while the unemployment rate fell back to 4.5%, largely because fewer people were looking for work.
Initial claims represent job destruction, while the level of continuing claims indicates how hard or easy it is for displaced workers to find new jobs.
Compared with the same time last year, initial claims are up about 7% while continuing claims are up about 3%.
Long-term unemployment has been stubbornly high during this expansion, despite the decrease in the unemployment rate to 4.5%. In February, about 31% of the 6.9 million official unemployed people had been out of work longer than 15 weeks, while 18%, or 1.2 million, had been out of work longer than 27 weeks.
Typically, unemployment benefits run out after 26 weeks for those who are eligible. Those who exhaust their unemployment benefits are still counted as unemployed if they are looking for work.
ECONOMIC REPORT: New York factory activity comes to standstill in March; Empire State index plunges to 1.9, lowest since May 2005
By Greg Robb, MarketWatch Last Update: 8:30 AM ET Mar 15, 2007
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - Manufacturing activity in the New York area came to a virtual standstill in March, the New York Federal Reserve Bank said Thursday.
The bank's Empire State Manufacturing index fell sharply to 1.9 in March from 24.4 in February.
The index fell to its lowest level since May 2005. Readings over zero indicate expansion.
The size of the decline surprised economists. Economists were forecasting the index to slip to 19.0.
The new orders index also fell sharply and the shipments and unfilled orders indexes also declined.
The prices paid index inched upwards.
Expectations of price increases over the next six months also increased, suggesting that factory owners expect price pressures to accelerate.
March's Empire State new orders index fell to 3.1 from 18.9. Shipments fell to 18.5 from 27.1 in February.
The employment index fell slightly to 11.4 in March from 12.7 in February.
Survey respondents expected business conditions to continue to improve over the next six months.
The future index for general business conditions fell to 35.2 in March from 38.5 in the previous month.
ECONOMIC REPORT: Producer prices unexpectedly jump 1.3%; Core PPI up 0.4% on higher prices for trucks, capital goods, tobacco
By Rex Nutting, MarketWatch Last Update: 8:30 AM ET Mar 15, 2007
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - Wholesale prices unexpectedly jumped 1.3% in February, the Labor Department reported Thursday.
Increases in the producer price index for finished goods were broad-based. Energy prices rose 3.5%. Food prices rose 1.9%. Capital equipment prices rose 0.3%.
Economists surveyed by MarketWatch were expecting a gain of about 0.6% in the PPI.
Producer prices excluding food and energy were up 0.4%, twice the 0.2% gain in the core PPI that was expected.
The report will keep the pressure on the Federal Reserve to remain vigilant on inflation, even as the economy shows signs of slowing. The PPI is not the Fed's focus; the real issue is what consumer prices do. The PPI measures prices in the production pipeline, not at the retail level.
The government will report on the consumer price index on Friday. It's expected to rise 0.3% for overall inflation, and 0.2% for core inflation excluding food and energy prices.
The Fed meets next week to discuss monetary policy. No change is expected in the Fed's target interest rate of 5.25%.
The PPI has swung wildly in the past six months, driven largely by movements in energy prices. The PPI fell 0.6% in January and rose 0.9% in December. Prices are up 2.5% in the past 12 months, the biggest year-on-year gain since August.
Core prices are up 1.8% in the past 12 months, matching January's year-on-year increase.
Most of the damage was in food and energy prices. Energy prices increased 3.5%, including a 5.3% rise in wholesale gasoline prices and a 4.1% increase in residential natural gas prices.
Food prices rose 1.9%, as prices for unprocessed foods rose 11.2%. Fruit prices rose 15.7% and fresh vegetable prices rose 8.3%. Pasta prices rose 4.3%, the most in 11 years.
But other consumer prices were also rising. Cigarette prices rose 4.6%, the biggest gain in six years. Toy prices rose 2.3%, the most in 24 years.
Car prices fell 1.2%.
Prices of intermediate goods destined for further processing before final sale rose 1.1%, on a 4.5% rise in energy goods and a 2.6% increase in intermediate foods prices. Core intermediate prices - considered one of the best gauges of future inflation - rose 0.2%. The core intermediate PPI is up 3.7% in the past year.
Crude goods prices rose 8.9% as crude energy prices rose 13.7%. Basic industrial materials prices rose 2.7%
- Mensagens: 1620
- Registado: 17/11/2005 1:02
12:30 Dados States
a seco e pr digerir
8:30 AM ET
U.S. insured unemployment rate rises to 2.0% vs. 1.9%
U.S. continuing jobless claims at 13-month high 2.56mln
U.S. 4-wk avg. initial claims fall 10,250 to 329,250
U.S. initial jobless claims fall 12,000 to 318,000
U.S. March Empire State prices paid 30.2 vs 26.9 in Feb
U.S. March Empire State employment index 11.4 vs 12.7 in Feb
U.S. March Empire State new orders index 3.1 vs 18.9 in Feb
U.S. March Empire State index lowest since May 2005
U.S. March Empire State index well below consensus 19.0
U.S. March Empire State index 1.9 vs 24.4 in Feb.
U.S. Feb. PPI light truck prices up 1.7%
U.S. Feb. PPI capital equipment prices up 0.3%
U.S. Feb. PPI foods prices up 1.9%
U.S. Feb. PPI energy prices up 3.5%
U.S. Feb. intermediate core PPI up 0.2%
U.S. Feb. core PPI up 0.4% vs. 0.2% expected
U.S. Feb. PPI up 1.3% vs. 0.6% expected
8:30 AM ET
U.S. insured unemployment rate rises to 2.0% vs. 1.9%
U.S. continuing jobless claims at 13-month high 2.56mln
U.S. 4-wk avg. initial claims fall 10,250 to 329,250
U.S. initial jobless claims fall 12,000 to 318,000
U.S. March Empire State prices paid 30.2 vs 26.9 in Feb
U.S. March Empire State employment index 11.4 vs 12.7 in Feb
U.S. March Empire State new orders index 3.1 vs 18.9 in Feb
U.S. March Empire State index lowest since May 2005
U.S. March Empire State index well below consensus 19.0
U.S. March Empire State index 1.9 vs 24.4 in Feb.
U.S. Feb. PPI light truck prices up 1.7%
U.S. Feb. PPI capital equipment prices up 0.3%
U.S. Feb. PPI foods prices up 1.9%
U.S. Feb. PPI energy prices up 3.5%
U.S. Feb. intermediate core PPI up 0.2%
U.S. Feb. core PPI up 0.4% vs. 0.2% expected
U.S. Feb. PPI up 1.3% vs. 0.6% expected
- Mensagens: 1620
- Registado: 17/11/2005 1:02
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