Gold&Oil
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boas empirico
empirico Escreveu:Chamo este tópico porque é importante referir que o Ouro fechou a sessão com a quebra em alta da MM50 com uma candlestick bulish.
Para quem quiser eventualmente apostar alavancado existe 2 TWGOLD da CZ com maturidade até Março.
Bons negócios!
Este poderá ser sem dúvida um negócio extremamente lucrativo.
Entrei aí na quinta passada em certificados de ourono Millennium a 49,35. Estou tranquilíssimo. Já marcham a 51.oo
Quanto aos TW, vou aproveitar uns troquitos para uma cobertura, caso a coisa mude de figura, mas aqui parece-me que estamos a caminho de novos máximos.
Os 1000 este ano serão muito dificeis de atingir, mas ...... pelo menos os 750, são testáveis. Não esquecer que este mercado é à parte de tudo... o menos transparente possível e aqui o cartel é deveras decisivo.... mas quando entra a especulação... não há movimento de controlo que resista.
Cumps
Vai onde te leva o sonho, mas cuidado, não vá ele tornar-se um pesadelo....
Gold May Rise as Investors Seek an Alternative to U.S. Dollar
By Choy Leng Yeong
Dec. 18 (Bloomberg) -- Gold may rise, snapping a two-week slide, on speculation Russia and Middle Eastern crude-oil producers may shift reserves away from the dollar, boosting the appeal of the precious metal as an alternative investment.
Seventeen of the 34 traders, investors and analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News from Sydney to Chicago on Dec. 14 and Dec. 15 advised buying gold, which fell 1.9 percent last week to $619.30 an ounce in New York. Eight respondents said to sell, and nine were neutral.
The central bank of Russia, the world's second-biggest oil producer, increased gold holdings by 2.2 percent to 394.1 metric tons in the third quarter, the London-based World Gold Council said last week. Gold rallied 7.6 percent in November, the most since April, as the dollar slumped to a 20-month low against the euro.
``Investors will start anticipating Arab oil producers are not happy with recent declines in the dollar,'' said Stephen Leeb, president of Leeb Capital Management, which oversees $152 million in New York. ``If the dollar is seen weaker from a longer-term perspective, that has to be positive for gold, one of the primary alternatives to the dollar.''
Gold may rise to $1,000 an ounce over the next 18 months, driven by a falling dollar and rising energy costs, Leeb said. Leeb Capital has 4 percent in gold equities.
Gold futures on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange fell $11.90 an ounce last week, after sliding 3 percent the previous week. The decline surprised the majority of analysts who predicted a gain when surveyed on Dec. 7 and Dec. 8. Respondents have forecast prices accurately in 83 of 138 weeks, or 60 percent of the time.
European Central Banks
Sales of gold by central banks fell 31 percent in the third quarter to 59 metric tons from a year ago, according to the producer-funded World Gold Council. A group of European central banks this year sold 395.8 tons, below the 500-ton limit under a special accord, the Council said.
``Gold is just pausing in a secular bull market,'' said Michael Metz, chief investment strategist at Oppenheimer & Co. in New York, which has about $10 billion in assets. ``The Western central banks did not sell their quota. It's just begun to turn up in central banks like Russia.''
Belarus, Ukraine, Greece and South Africa are among countries that have increased gold reserves this year, according to the World Gold Council. The dollar has fallen 7.8 percent against a basket of six major world currencies this year, and gold has climbed 19 percent.
`Trend Will Accelerate'
``Dollar weakness, based on major central banks reducing their dollar exposure where possible, will continue to drive gold up,'' said Stuart Flerlage, managing principal at NuWave Investment Corp. in New York. ``This trend will only accelerate as Middle Eastern reserves are switched out of dollar- denominated assets.''
The central bank of United Arab Emirates, the third-biggest OPEC exporter behind Saudi Arabia and Iran, said in November its ``medium- to long-term objective'' was to boost euro and gold holdings to diversify out of the dollar.
Gold also may get a boost from speculation that higher energy costs will increase the appeal of the metal as a hedge against inflation.
Some investors buy gold to preserve purchasing power in times of accelerating inflation. Gold futures surged to $873 in 1980, when a jump in the cost of oil led to a 13 percent annual rise in consumer prices.
Crude oil rose to a two-week high of $63.43 a barrel on Dec. 15 after the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries agreed to production cuts.
`Buying Opportunity'
``Crude prices have moved up, and that will support gold,'' said Siddharth V. Kothari, an analyst at Sunidhi Commodities Pvt. Ltd. in Mumbai. ``There is also more non-commercial and institutional buying emerging. Any drop in prices to $617 and $620 should be taken as a good buying opportunity.''
Gold may rebound to $650 this week because ``weakness in the dollar will persist in the long term,'' he said.
Higher oil prices are ``generating background support'' for gold, said James Moore, an analyst in Kettering, England, for TheBullionDesk.com. Oil over $60 a barrel is ``likely to generate further anti-inflationary hedging,'' he said.
Hedge-fund managers and other large speculators reduced their net-long position in Comex gold futures in the week ended Dec. 12, data from the Washington-based Commodity Futures Trading Commission show.
Speculative long positions, or bets that prices will rise, outnumbered short positions by 81,829 contracts, down 2.2 percent from a week earlier.
To contact the reporter on this story: Choy Leng Yeong&cle; in Seattle at clyeong@bloomberg.net .
Last Updated: December 17, 2006 14:21 EST
By Choy Leng Yeong
Dec. 18 (Bloomberg) -- Gold may rise, snapping a two-week slide, on speculation Russia and Middle Eastern crude-oil producers may shift reserves away from the dollar, boosting the appeal of the precious metal as an alternative investment.
Seventeen of the 34 traders, investors and analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News from Sydney to Chicago on Dec. 14 and Dec. 15 advised buying gold, which fell 1.9 percent last week to $619.30 an ounce in New York. Eight respondents said to sell, and nine were neutral.
The central bank of Russia, the world's second-biggest oil producer, increased gold holdings by 2.2 percent to 394.1 metric tons in the third quarter, the London-based World Gold Council said last week. Gold rallied 7.6 percent in November, the most since April, as the dollar slumped to a 20-month low against the euro.
``Investors will start anticipating Arab oil producers are not happy with recent declines in the dollar,'' said Stephen Leeb, president of Leeb Capital Management, which oversees $152 million in New York. ``If the dollar is seen weaker from a longer-term perspective, that has to be positive for gold, one of the primary alternatives to the dollar.''
Gold may rise to $1,000 an ounce over the next 18 months, driven by a falling dollar and rising energy costs, Leeb said. Leeb Capital has 4 percent in gold equities.
Gold futures on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange fell $11.90 an ounce last week, after sliding 3 percent the previous week. The decline surprised the majority of analysts who predicted a gain when surveyed on Dec. 7 and Dec. 8. Respondents have forecast prices accurately in 83 of 138 weeks, or 60 percent of the time.
European Central Banks
Sales of gold by central banks fell 31 percent in the third quarter to 59 metric tons from a year ago, according to the producer-funded World Gold Council. A group of European central banks this year sold 395.8 tons, below the 500-ton limit under a special accord, the Council said.
``Gold is just pausing in a secular bull market,'' said Michael Metz, chief investment strategist at Oppenheimer & Co. in New York, which has about $10 billion in assets. ``The Western central banks did not sell their quota. It's just begun to turn up in central banks like Russia.''
Belarus, Ukraine, Greece and South Africa are among countries that have increased gold reserves this year, according to the World Gold Council. The dollar has fallen 7.8 percent against a basket of six major world currencies this year, and gold has climbed 19 percent.
`Trend Will Accelerate'
``Dollar weakness, based on major central banks reducing their dollar exposure where possible, will continue to drive gold up,'' said Stuart Flerlage, managing principal at NuWave Investment Corp. in New York. ``This trend will only accelerate as Middle Eastern reserves are switched out of dollar- denominated assets.''
The central bank of United Arab Emirates, the third-biggest OPEC exporter behind Saudi Arabia and Iran, said in November its ``medium- to long-term objective'' was to boost euro and gold holdings to diversify out of the dollar.
Gold also may get a boost from speculation that higher energy costs will increase the appeal of the metal as a hedge against inflation.
Some investors buy gold to preserve purchasing power in times of accelerating inflation. Gold futures surged to $873 in 1980, when a jump in the cost of oil led to a 13 percent annual rise in consumer prices.
Crude oil rose to a two-week high of $63.43 a barrel on Dec. 15 after the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries agreed to production cuts.
`Buying Opportunity'
``Crude prices have moved up, and that will support gold,'' said Siddharth V. Kothari, an analyst at Sunidhi Commodities Pvt. Ltd. in Mumbai. ``There is also more non-commercial and institutional buying emerging. Any drop in prices to $617 and $620 should be taken as a good buying opportunity.''
Gold may rebound to $650 this week because ``weakness in the dollar will persist in the long term,'' he said.
Higher oil prices are ``generating background support'' for gold, said James Moore, an analyst in Kettering, England, for TheBullionDesk.com. Oil over $60 a barrel is ``likely to generate further anti-inflationary hedging,'' he said.
Hedge-fund managers and other large speculators reduced their net-long position in Comex gold futures in the week ended Dec. 12, data from the Washington-based Commodity Futures Trading Commission show.
Speculative long positions, or bets that prices will rise, outnumbered short positions by 81,829 contracts, down 2.2 percent from a week earlier.
To contact the reporter on this story: Choy Leng Yeong&cle; in Seattle at clyeong@bloomberg.net .
Last Updated: December 17, 2006 14:21 EST
Gold&Oil
Boas.
Oil
O petróleo está quase a dar um forte sinal de compra. Depois de ter feito um "higher low" está prestes a fazer um "higher high" com a quebra dos 64usd.
No gráfico semanal pode-se ver os indicadores a dar sinal de compra (Macd e Rsi) e tb o suporte nos 57,5Usd que se verificou bastante forte.
Em caso de confirmação deste sinal, parece que não tem grandes obstáculos até aos 69Usd.
Gold
O Ouro está agora num momento importante. Encontra-se em cima dos 610/615Usd, em caso de quebra deste suporte pode acelerar até aos 580Usd. Se encontrar suporte nos 615usd, acima dos 630usd é estar atento a um sinal de compra.
Cumps
Oil
O petróleo está quase a dar um forte sinal de compra. Depois de ter feito um "higher low" está prestes a fazer um "higher high" com a quebra dos 64usd.
No gráfico semanal pode-se ver os indicadores a dar sinal de compra (Macd e Rsi) e tb o suporte nos 57,5Usd que se verificou bastante forte.
Em caso de confirmação deste sinal, parece que não tem grandes obstáculos até aos 69Usd.
Gold
O Ouro está agora num momento importante. Encontra-se em cima dos 610/615Usd, em caso de quebra deste suporte pode acelerar até aos 580Usd. Se encontrar suporte nos 615usd, acima dos 630usd é estar atento a um sinal de compra.
Cumps
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