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15:26
Apertura Wall Street [Imprimir comentario]
Se espera una apertura moderadamente a la baja en Wall Street ante la concurrencia de los siguientes factores:
1- El contagio de la debilidad de Europa que lleva un par de días corrigiendo con una cierta fuerza.
2- La debilidad del dólar, que no gusta, porque aunque favorece las exportaciones de algunas grandes empresas manufactureras, se teme que debido al alto nivel de importaciones de Estados Unidos pueda hacer subir la inflación.
3- Las confusas cifras que se están dando sobre el resultado de ventas de las compañías minoristas en el famoso black friday o viernes negro, en relación al viernes posterior a la fiesta de Acción de Gracias, que suele ser el día de mayor venta de todo el año. Se llama viernes negro, porque es un día que hace que muchas compañías que han tenido problemas pasan de los números rojos a los otros positivos o negros. Hay algunos informes buenos y otros malos, pero en general parece que se está dando como floja la jornada, basándose especialmente en un informe de la National RETAIL Federation.
4- La fuerte subida del petróleo debido a unos comentarios de Arabia Saudita sobre una posibilidad de recorte de la producción.
5- La posible bajada de Google ante unos comentarios negativos realizados en la influyente revista Barrons. La revista dice que la compañía está sobrevalorada y que su capitalización bursátil no tiene demasiado sentido si lo comparamos con sus ventas y con sus beneficios.
6- Pero sobre todo al principal problema con el que se va a encontrar la sesión de hoy, es la debilidad del sector minorista, causada por una rebaja de las previsiones de ventas para este mes por la compañía más grande del mundo del sector, Wal Mart. Esta compañía ha dicho que sus ventas de noviembre podrían bajar un 0,1%s, lo cual supondría la primera bajada en 10 años, está provocando que baje considerablemente en los cambios iniciales, y además está causando que otras grandes cadenas comerciales también estén bajando fuertemente en estos momentos.
No todo es negativo y hay algunos factores positivos que podrían frenar las pérdidas:
1- La consideración de algunos analistas de que lo que vimos la semana pasada no tiene demasiada relevancia, de hecho el volumen fue en bajísimo, y tienen la esperanza de que cuando se incorporen los operadores habituales de estos precios algo más bajos como interesantes para entrar.
2- La posible subida de las energéticas, ante la considerable alza del petróleo entre viernes y hoy.
3- Lowe's Cos. sube fuertemente ante la subida de recomendación del BANK of America de neutral a comprar, teniendo en cuenta que este es un valor muy influyente en su sector.
4- El hecho de que por el momento en las grandes manos fuertes de los pits de futuros de Chicago del SP se ve bastante calma y no se ven excesivas ventas.
Desde el punto de vista técnico la tendencia sigue siendo alcista y el mayor interés está ahora en ver si el SP 500 consigue aguantar por encima de los 1400 puntos y lo mismo para el Nasdaq 100 con los 1800 puntos.
Hoy no se publican datos macroeconómicos mayores, aunque sí se ha dado el dato de confianza del inversor de UBS/Gallup realizado entre 800 hogares de Estados Unidos que tienen invertidos al menos 10.000 $, y que ha dado el mayor nivel de optimismo desde el mes de enero, gracias a la bajada del precio de la gasolina y a la subida de la bolsa.
Durante la semana habrá que estar atentos porque si va a haber muchos datos macroeconómicos importantes y que pueden influir considerablemente en el mercado.
El futuro del Nasdaq baja el 0,25%s, los futuros del SP 500, del Dow Jones y el Russell 2000 bajan alrededor del 0,1%s.
El futuro de notas a 10 años, ojo porque baja considerablemente un cero, veinticuatro por ciento, siendo las pérdidas mayores y de bastante consideración en el futuro de bonos a 30 años que cae 0,44%s en estos momentos. No hay un claro motivo para esta fuerte bajada, más que los arbitrajes que vienen desde Europa, ya que el bono alemán tras volverse a tragar la resistencia en 118, 40 no está teniendo el día y cuentan los operadores que la llegada al soporte del 4,55%s de rentabilidades en la jornada del viernes, sin volumen, está siendo aprovechada para tomar la posición contraria por muchos operadores que se incorporan ahora tras las vacaciones. Hay que tener en cuenta que se soporte realmente importante
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- Mensagens: 3299
- Registado: 8/2/2006 17:32
Laraujo Escreveu:Onde podemos consultar as cotações destas meninas no pré-market?
muchas gracias
www.nasdaq.com
no yahoo tb podes ver mas prefiro o nasdaq.
Abraços e bons negócios
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- Mensagens: 590
- Registado: 20/11/2006 23:11
- Localização: Lisboa
U.S. Thanksgiving Spending Increases 19% on Discounts (Correct)
By Mary Jane Credeur
(Corrects 17th paragraph to show Amazon.com site slowdown was Thanksgiving morning.)
Nov. 27 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. consumers shopping over the Thanksgiving holiday weekend spent 19 percent more per person than they did last year as retailers slashed prices to attract customers.
Consumers spent an average $360.15 each from Nov. 23 through yesterday, up from $302.81 a year earlier, the National Retail Federation said yesterday in a statement. Fewer people shopped, with about 140 million visiting stores during the four days including Thanksgiving, down from 145 million last year.
Shoppers limited much of their spending to sale items such as Wal-Mart Stores Inc.'s $997 37-inch LCD TV and Sears Holding Corp.'s discounted jewelry and toys, said consultant Howard Davidowitz. The discounting may threaten profit margins during a quarter when retailers collect a third of their annual earnings.
``The retailers made their own bed here,'' said Patricia Edwards, a Seattle-based money manager at Wentworth, Hauser & Violich. ``It's almost this mentality of `Don't worry if you're losing money on every transaction, because you'll make it up on volume.''' The firm manages $8.2 billion, including Wal-Mart, Nordstrom Inc. and Chico's FAS Inc. shares.
Sales on Nov. 24, called Black Friday because retailers once considered it the day they turned profitable for the year, rose 6 percent from last year to $8.96 billion, according to estimates by Chicago-based research firm ShopperTrak RCT Corp.
The growth in weekend sales outpaced last year's gain, when consumers each spent an average 14.2 percent more than in 2004. U.S. consumer confidence is close to a 15-month high as gasoline prices drop and unemployment remains at a five-year low.
Jumping Online
Online shopping on Nov. 24 totaled $434 million, a 42 percent jump over last year, according to Reston, Virginia-based consulting firm ComScore Networks Inc. Consumers spent $8.31 billion this month through Nov. 24, a 23 percent increase over last year, ComScore said.
The NRF said sales during November and December may rise 5 percent to $457.4 billion.
About 33 percent of shoppers bought electronics over the weekend, including flat-panel television sets, Microsoft Corp.'s Zune digital music player and video-game consoles such as Nintendo Co.'s Wii and Sony Corp.'s PlayStation 3, the NRF said.
Laura Brown, a 38-year-old nurse in Atlanta, bought a 42- inch Panasonic plasma TV for $1,000 at a Best Buy Co. store the day after Thanksgiving. The set was marked down from $1,700 and was ``my gift to me,'' Brown said.
Computer engineer Daishi Yameda, 32, bought a $30 cashmere sweater for his girlfriend at Gap Inc.'s Old Navy while visiting San Francisco.
`Shocking'
``It was shocking because people were only buying doorbusters,'' said Davidowitz, chairman of Davidowitz & Associates. Employees with his New York-based consulting firm visited 50 retailers this weekend. ``You can't have people just come in and buy doorbusters and leave.''
Wal-Mart shares slipped in German trading, losing 41 cents to $47.49 at 11:20 a.m. local time. The retailer said Nov. 25 that its November sales at U.S. stores open at least a year fell 0.1 percent, the worst performance in a decade and lower than the company's forecast of unchanged sales.
The Bentonville, Arkansas-based retailer marked down toys, electronics and appliances while cutting prices on generic drugs in 38 U.S. states.
``First Wal-Mart wanted to go upscale, now they're going back to cutting prices across the board,'' said Walter Todd, who helps manage $850 million at Greenwood Capital in Greenwood, South Carolina. ``I think things are a bit loosey-goosey right now.'' Todd sold Wal-Mart shares this year, concerned about slowing sales.
Site Problems
Wal-Mart's Walmart.com site was working intermittently on Black Friday because of unexpectedly high traffic, spokeswoman Amy Colella said. The company posted Black Friday specials online on Thanksgiving Day and ran advertisements during college football games to direct users to the site.
Amazon.com Inc. experienced a 15-minute slowdown Thanksgiving morning for promotional items such as a $100 Microsoft Corp. Xbox 360. The video game console sold out in 29 seconds, Amazon spokesman Craig Berman said.
More than 41 percent of consumers bought accessories or clothes over the weekend, the NRF said. At a Macy's in King of Prussia, Pennsylvania, clothing by Jones Apparel Group Inc.'s Jones New York was 50 percent off, as were Nine West purses.
The NRF said 41 percent of shoppers purchased books, DVDs, CDs and video games, and 28 percent bought toys.
Gift Cards
Educational toys drew Marisia Rivera, a nurse's assistant from Manhattan, to a Target Corp. store in Brooklyn at 4 a.m. on the day after Thanksgiving to shop for her nieces and nephews. She planned to buy a Leapfrog Enterprises Inc. tablet that teaches math and phonics.
``They are going to play with Elmo for the first two weeks,'' said Rivera, 38. ``After that, it's under the couch.''
About 18 percent of shoppers bought gift cards over the weekend. Consumers plan to spend $24.8 billion on holiday gift cards this year, a 34 percent jump from last year, according to the NRF. Gift-card sales, which aren't counted as revenue until they're redeemed, may shift some spending into January.
FOnte Bloomberg
By Mary Jane Credeur
(Corrects 17th paragraph to show Amazon.com site slowdown was Thanksgiving morning.)
Nov. 27 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. consumers shopping over the Thanksgiving holiday weekend spent 19 percent more per person than they did last year as retailers slashed prices to attract customers.
Consumers spent an average $360.15 each from Nov. 23 through yesterday, up from $302.81 a year earlier, the National Retail Federation said yesterday in a statement. Fewer people shopped, with about 140 million visiting stores during the four days including Thanksgiving, down from 145 million last year.
Shoppers limited much of their spending to sale items such as Wal-Mart Stores Inc.'s $997 37-inch LCD TV and Sears Holding Corp.'s discounted jewelry and toys, said consultant Howard Davidowitz. The discounting may threaten profit margins during a quarter when retailers collect a third of their annual earnings.
``The retailers made their own bed here,'' said Patricia Edwards, a Seattle-based money manager at Wentworth, Hauser & Violich. ``It's almost this mentality of `Don't worry if you're losing money on every transaction, because you'll make it up on volume.''' The firm manages $8.2 billion, including Wal-Mart, Nordstrom Inc. and Chico's FAS Inc. shares.
Sales on Nov. 24, called Black Friday because retailers once considered it the day they turned profitable for the year, rose 6 percent from last year to $8.96 billion, according to estimates by Chicago-based research firm ShopperTrak RCT Corp.
The growth in weekend sales outpaced last year's gain, when consumers each spent an average 14.2 percent more than in 2004. U.S. consumer confidence is close to a 15-month high as gasoline prices drop and unemployment remains at a five-year low.
Jumping Online
Online shopping on Nov. 24 totaled $434 million, a 42 percent jump over last year, according to Reston, Virginia-based consulting firm ComScore Networks Inc. Consumers spent $8.31 billion this month through Nov. 24, a 23 percent increase over last year, ComScore said.
The NRF said sales during November and December may rise 5 percent to $457.4 billion.
About 33 percent of shoppers bought electronics over the weekend, including flat-panel television sets, Microsoft Corp.'s Zune digital music player and video-game consoles such as Nintendo Co.'s Wii and Sony Corp.'s PlayStation 3, the NRF said.
Laura Brown, a 38-year-old nurse in Atlanta, bought a 42- inch Panasonic plasma TV for $1,000 at a Best Buy Co. store the day after Thanksgiving. The set was marked down from $1,700 and was ``my gift to me,'' Brown said.
Computer engineer Daishi Yameda, 32, bought a $30 cashmere sweater for his girlfriend at Gap Inc.'s Old Navy while visiting San Francisco.
`Shocking'
``It was shocking because people were only buying doorbusters,'' said Davidowitz, chairman of Davidowitz & Associates. Employees with his New York-based consulting firm visited 50 retailers this weekend. ``You can't have people just come in and buy doorbusters and leave.''
Wal-Mart shares slipped in German trading, losing 41 cents to $47.49 at 11:20 a.m. local time. The retailer said Nov. 25 that its November sales at U.S. stores open at least a year fell 0.1 percent, the worst performance in a decade and lower than the company's forecast of unchanged sales.
The Bentonville, Arkansas-based retailer marked down toys, electronics and appliances while cutting prices on generic drugs in 38 U.S. states.
``First Wal-Mart wanted to go upscale, now they're going back to cutting prices across the board,'' said Walter Todd, who helps manage $850 million at Greenwood Capital in Greenwood, South Carolina. ``I think things are a bit loosey-goosey right now.'' Todd sold Wal-Mart shares this year, concerned about slowing sales.
Site Problems
Wal-Mart's Walmart.com site was working intermittently on Black Friday because of unexpectedly high traffic, spokeswoman Amy Colella said. The company posted Black Friday specials online on Thanksgiving Day and ran advertisements during college football games to direct users to the site.
Amazon.com Inc. experienced a 15-minute slowdown Thanksgiving morning for promotional items such as a $100 Microsoft Corp. Xbox 360. The video game console sold out in 29 seconds, Amazon spokesman Craig Berman said.
More than 41 percent of consumers bought accessories or clothes over the weekend, the NRF said. At a Macy's in King of Prussia, Pennsylvania, clothing by Jones Apparel Group Inc.'s Jones New York was 50 percent off, as were Nine West purses.
The NRF said 41 percent of shoppers purchased books, DVDs, CDs and video games, and 28 percent bought toys.
Gift Cards
Educational toys drew Marisia Rivera, a nurse's assistant from Manhattan, to a Target Corp. store in Brooklyn at 4 a.m. on the day after Thanksgiving to shop for her nieces and nephews. She planned to buy a Leapfrog Enterprises Inc. tablet that teaches math and phonics.
``They are going to play with Elmo for the first two weeks,'' said Rivera, 38. ``After that, it's under the couch.''
About 18 percent of shoppers bought gift cards over the weekend. Consumers plan to spend $24.8 billion on holiday gift cards this year, a 34 percent jump from last year, according to the NRF. Gift-card sales, which aren't counted as revenue until they're redeemed, may shift some spending into January.
FOnte Bloomberg
- Mensagens: 181
- Registado: 16/10/2006 20:26
Abertura USA
En los últimos minutos han surgido algunas cuestiones que pueden complicar la apertura en Estados Unidos.
La primera de ellas es el negativo comentario que la influyente revista de Estados Unidos Barrons ha realizado de Google, comentando que está sobrevalorada y que ha alcanzado una capitalización bursátil excesiva para su ratio entre cotizaciones y beneficios y sus ventas. No puedo estar más de acuerdo con ellos.
La segunda es el decepcionante dato de ventas de noviembre que ha aventurado el gigante mundial de la distribución minorista Wal Mart, con una posible bajada de 0,1%s lo que supondría la primera caída en 10 años. Éstas previsiones están haciendo que el sector minorista esté cayendo como un plomo en los últimos minutos.
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