Ucrânia vs Rússia - Escalada de tensão
Re: Ucrânia vs Rússia - Escalada de tensão
Há canais, já aqui mencionados, que fazem essa contabilidade.
No último mês a Rússia teve 900 baixas diárias.
Em Setembro, as ofensivas russas baixaram ao nível de pelotão.
Pedro
No último mês a Rússia teve 900 baixas diárias.
Em Setembro, as ofensivas russas baixaram ao nível de pelotão.
Pedro
Re: Ucrânia vs Rússia - Escalada de tensão
Se não fossem a# mortes …Rússia e Ucrânia tendem a esconder baixas, enquanto o Ministério da Saúde de Gaza divulga grandes números com elevado gosto .para mobilizar atenção internacional.
Todos os números são difíceis de verificar a comunicação de baixas é tanto política quanto estratégica .
Já Napoleão vestia os soldados com fardas escuras para esconder o sangue,
Todos os números são difíceis de verificar a comunicação de baixas é tanto política quanto estratégica .
Já Napoleão vestia os soldados com fardas escuras para esconder o sangue,
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Re: Ucrânia vs Rússia - Escalada de tensão
O artigo abaixo está a misturar baixas e mortes, vai alternando killed/casualties como se fosse a mesma coisa, quando não é. A fonte citada (CSIS) aponta para 250 mil mortes (em 950 mil baixas, perto de um milhão). Outra estimativa aqui e que parece cobrir os outros números mencionados na peçoa, como por exemplo os 700 mil estimados pelos US e outras fontes, aponta para números semelhantes (mas onde, também, mortos será na ordem dos 200 a 250 mil). A confusão é frequente, já aconteceu aqui mesmo no tópico, uma coisa é baixas outra é mortos mesmo...
Sky News
In depth: Trump says Russian soldiers are being killed at a higher rate than Ukraine's. Is he right - and what does this mean?
As mentioned a little earlier, among the comments made by Donald Trump during his appearance alongside UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer yesterday was one referencing the relative number of deaths in the Ukraine war.
While conceding that Vladimir Putin "has let me down", the US president said: "He's killing many people, and he's losing more people than he's killing.
"Frankly, the Russian soldiers are being killed at a higher rate than the Ukrainian soldiers."
The remarks represent a significant shift in tone from Trump towards Putin, who many observers accuse the US leader of appeasing - while simultaneously being manipulated by his Russian counterpart.
However, what was unclear was whether the comments also offered us valuable insight into more recent US intelligence assessments of the relative rate of casualties among Russian and Ukrainian forces.
Are more Russian than Ukrainian soldiers being killed?
While it is notoriously difficult to establish casualty numbers with absolute confidence, something that all estimates appear to confirm is that Russia has lost many more service members since Putin ordered the full-scale invasion in 2022.
A report from the Center for Strategic and International Studies released in June indicated that nearly one million Russian casualties had been recorded - a grisly milestone that Ukrainian officials subsequently said had been passed later that month.
Perhaps predictably, this figure was denied by the Kremlin.
In January, US Intelligence officials estimated that 700,000 Russian soldiers had been killed.
This compares to the figure of around 400,000 Ukrainian casualties estimated by CSIS, the UK's Ministry of Defence and US officials.
Why are casualty numbers so difficult to determine?
The number of people killed on each side is a closely guarded state secret, subject to manipulation for strategic and propaganda purposes.
As is the case in all conflicts, the two nations have motivations to inflate enemy casualties while minimising their own.
The situation is further confused by the different methodologies employed by organisations and analysts to make the estimates - with some producing inconsistent results with varying degrees of reliability.
There is also the problem of incomplete data. Many injured and killed soldiers are left on the battlefield, and it is widely suggested that Ukraine's large number of missing-in-action personnel further complicates accurate accounting.
Why are so many more Russian soldiers being killed?
Given Russia's advantage in terms of military might and resources in general, Ukraine might be expected to have suffered more casualties than its invaders.
However, a number of factors have led to the wide disparity in the number of service members killed.
Firstly and arguably most importantly, forces that are on the offensive - as is the case for Russia's invading troops - generally tend to lose more troops.
Analysts have also suggested that Moscow is more prone to deploying large numbers of soldiers to the frontline in an effort to gain an advantage - but in a way that leaves those soldiers more vulnerable.
Other significant reasons include the apparent lack of effective preparation and planning from Russia before launching its invasion, which had a number of knock-on effects.
Most commentators say Putin and his senior military officials drastically underestimated Ukraine - both in practical terms and regarding morale and the level of motivation to defend their homeland - resulting in a shambolic start to the conflict for Russia's army.
This also allowed Kyiv plenty of time to mobilise and prepare.
While the US has withdrawn much of its support for Ukraine since Trump returned to power following his election win almost a year ago, the country has benefited from Western support and intelligence information.
Does this mean Ukraine is winning the war?
In short, no.
Russia's population (around 143 million) is four times bigger than Ukraine's (38 million), allowing Moscow to increase the size of its invading forces despite the high rate of casualties.
It has also conducted its first draft since the Second World War, with prisoners among those enlisted in the army - while people accused of crimes have had charges dismissed in exchange for them agreeing to sign up.
There are also the estimated 11,000 North Korean soldiers sent to fight alongside Moscow's forces in Ukraine.
In January, a military analyst familiar with Western assessments told the New York Times there were more than 400,000 Russians facing about 250,000 Ukrainians across the front - and that the gap between the armies was growing.
Putin said yesterday that 700,000 Russian service members were currently on the frontlines - although that claim should be viewed with some suspicion, for reasons outlined above.
So is it just a matter of time until Russia triumphs?
The consensus among experts is that Russia has held the initiative in the war for the better part of the last 12 months, despite its high number of casualties.
Having said this, leading thinktank the Institute for the Study of War says a Russian victory "is not inevitable".
"Ukraine and the West can leverage several key Russian weaknesses to force Putin to change his calculus and engage in good-faith negotiations," the analysts said in their latest update on the conflict.
"Russian gains on the battlefield have come at a high cost... Russian forces have been advancing at a creeping pace throughout 2025, and Russia's casualty rates have been disproportionately high compared to the amount of territory seized."
Sky News
FLOP - Fundamental Laws Of Profit
1. Mais vale perder um ganho que ganhar uma perda, a menos que se cumpra a Segunda Lei.
2. A expectativa de ganho deve superar a expectativa de perda, onde a expectativa mede a
__.amplitude média do ganho/perda contra a respectiva probabilidade.
3. A Primeira Lei não é mesmo necessária mas com Três Leis isto fica definitivamente mais giro.
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Re: Ucrânia vs Rússia - Escalada de tensão
TV russa passou esta imagem do "Zapad-2025".

Pedro
Pedro
Re: Ucrânia vs Rússia - Escalada de tensão
AP Exclusive: Russia, Vietnam using energy profits to avoid possible US sanctions for arms deals
https://apnews.com/article/vietnam-russia-money-transactions-united-states-a71a83e7d60672a63565cc9fe28945d7?taid=68cd067ef442880001168459&utm_campaign=TrueAnthem&utm_medium=AP&utm_source=Twitter
Pedro
Re: Ucrânia vs Rússia - Escalada de tensão
Avanços residuais russos em Pokrovsk, Kupyansk e Lyman, e avanços residuais ucranianos em Sumy.
https://noelreports.com/
Pedro
https://noelreports.com/
Pedro
Re: Ucrânia vs Rússia - Escalada de tensão
Sertorio Escreveu:O último vídeo do history legends .
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VwcIQEIFa-o
Russia STEAMROLLED Ukraine in the North Donetsk Direction
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5j4PXwNw2Hw
Que nunca por vencidos se conheçam
Re: Ucrânia vs Rússia - Escalada de tensão
O último vídeo do history legends .
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VwcIQEIFa-o
Russia STEAMROLLED Ukraine in the North Donetsk Direction
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VwcIQEIFa-o
Russia STEAMROLLED Ukraine in the North Donetsk Direction
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Re: Ucrânia vs Rússia - Escalada de tensão
Que independência militar tem o Ocidente ?
Germânio era 1000 dólares o kilo está a perto de 6000 o problema nem será o preço os chineses deixaram de exportar os russos no passado tinham uma pequena parte do mercado , agora vamos à procura …nas nossas terras ‘
Indispensável para visão nocturna , sensores de imagem por infravermelha térmicos …
Germânio era 1000 dólares o kilo está a perto de 6000 o problema nem será o preço os chineses deixaram de exportar os russos no passado tinham uma pequena parte do mercado , agora vamos à procura …nas nossas terras ‘
Indispensável para visão nocturna , sensores de imagem por infravermelha térmicos …
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Re: Ucrânia vs Rússia - Escalada de tensão
Frustrated GOP senators blow steam on Russia: ‘Sick of’ Trump, Vance ‘love affair’ with Putin
Senate Republicans are growing increasingly exasperated over President Trump’s refusal to give them permission to move tough bipartisan sanctions legislation against Russia and countries that buy its oil.
Trump pressed European allies over the weekend to levy harsher sanctions against Russia, but he has dragged his feet on the bipartisan sanctions bill, which Republican senators were hoping to get done in July.
The failure to act is fueling growing disillusionment among some Senate Republicans that Trump is not serious about helping Ukraine.
One Republican senator who requested anonymity to comment candidly on the stalemate over the sanctions legislation questioned whether Trump would ever come around to backing more military aid to Ukraine or slapping harsh sanctions on Russia.
“I’m sick of Trump and JD and their love affair with everything Putin,” the senator grumbled, noting Trump’s red-carpet welcome of Russian President Vladimir Putin at Alaska’s Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson last month and Vice President Vance’s recent comments defending Putin’s approach to peace negotiations.
The Republican lawmaker said Russia’s massive drone and missile attack against Ukraine last week, the biggest aerial barrage of the three-and-a-half-year war, was a major provocation and a clear sign that Putin doesn’t fear serious repercussions from Washington.
“They’re just testing how far we’ll bend over. It makes me sick,” the lawmaker said.
A second Republican senator who requested anonymity observed that Trump has occasionally talked tough about Russia but has failed to “follow through” with action.
Trump gave Russia hawks on Capitol Hill some hope when he declared: “We get a lot of bulls‑‑‑ thrown at us by Putin, if you want to know the truth. He’s very nice all the time, but it turns out to be meaningless.”
But then Trump gave Putin a warm reception in Alaska, inviting the Russian president to ride with him in his armored limousine and participating in a friendly side-by-side press conference after their meeting.
The GOP senator said Trump has sent “mixed messages” on Russia, to say the least.
Trump took a step toward appeasing his critics in the Republican Party by urging European allies over the weekend to move first on Russia sanctions.
“I am ready to do major sanctions on Russia when all NATO Nations have agreed, and started, to do the same thing, and when all NATO Nations STOP BUYING OIL FROM RUSSIA,” Trump wrote on Truth Social, his social media platform.
He criticized NATO allies for not being committed to victory, suggesting the United States is not ready to ratchet up pressure regarding Ukraine without Europe leading the way.
“As you know, NATO’S commitment to WIN has been far less than 100%, and the purchase of Russian Oil, by some, has been shocking!” he wrote. “It greatly weakens your negotiating position, and bargaining power, over Russia. Anyway, I am ready to ‘go’ when you are. Just say when?”
Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), who met with Trump last week in hopes of persuading the president to get behind moving the sanctions legislation, applauded the statement.
The South Carolina senator argued that “sanctions and tariffs, along with the sale of high-end American weapons to Ukraine, is the key to bringing Putin to the table for a just and honorable peace.”
Graham and Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (Pa.), the lead Republican sponsors of the Sanctioning Russia Act of 2025, said they would push colleagues to attach their bill to the continuing resolution that needs to pass by Sept. 30 to avoid a government shutdown.
But Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.) on Monday signaled that’s not likely to happen unless Trump provides approval for such a move, something GOP senators don’t think is likely to happen in the next two weeks.
“I would say that Russia sanctions — I’m hoping, I talked to Lindsey over the weekend. I hope it’s ripe here soon but I think one of the things the president is trying ensure happens before we do secondary sanctions is that our European allies join us,” Thune told reporters.
Trump set a high bar for the United States moving ahead with sanctions by demanding that “all NATO countries” agree to stop buying Russian oil, given that two of those countries, Hungary and Turkey, have strong trade relations with Russia and are unlikely to break off economic ties.
Thune acknowledged this but argued that core NATO members, including France, Germany and Italy, could put more economic pressure on Russia.
“I can’t speak for every European country but it certainly ought to apply to the French, Italians, the Germans and all of our other NATO allies,” he said of Trump’s demands for a tougher stance from Europe.
Republican senators who support sending billions of dollars of more military aid to the war effort and backing it up with crippling sanctions against Russia’s oil exports have largely kept their anger and agitation over Trump’s handling of the war to themselves.
But some are increasingly speaking out in public, though they are careful not to criticize Trump directly and risk getting pummeled by the president on social media.
Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska) said last month’s “Alaska summit” between Trump and Putin “wasn’t good for Ukraine.”
“Why we haven’t taken up a Russia sanctions bill on the floor,” Murkowski said, her voice trailing off.
“I know the answer to that — the answer is, the president has asked for some time, but we’ve given him all summer. We’ve given him all summer, look what’s happened,” she said.
“Everyone thought that with the Alaska summit we were going to see something, but it wasn’t very good for Ukraine. It just was Putin weighing in,” she said.
“I think it’s long past time that we moved on” Russia sanctions legislation “to send that strong signal from the Congress,” she added.
Murkowski has co-sponsored a proposal with Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-N.H.), the ranking member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, to provide an additional $54.6 billion in new aid to Ukraine.
Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) expressed disbelief over the lack of movement on sanctions legislation in Congress, arguing that passing legislation in the Senate would send a strong signal to Russia.
“It’s irrational to me to think it would not raise the awareness on Putin’s part that the Senate has spoken” on sanctions, he said. “Why on earth we’re not taking it up, I don’t see the strategic advantage of that.”
Tillis argued that passing sanctions legislation through the Senate would “send a very clear message of support to our NATO allies and to Ukraine, and also that we’re only one vote away from sending it to the president.”
“That seems like leverage. The fact that we would leave that leverage on the table, I just don’t understand it,” he said.
A White House official, asked about the criticism, said it was “working with Congress to ensure introduced bills advance the president’s foreign policy objectives and authorities.”
“The Constitution vests the president with the authority to conduct diplomacy with foreign nations. Any sanction package must provide complete flexibility for the president to continue to pursue his desired foreign policy,” the official said.
The Hill
FLOP - Fundamental Laws Of Profit
1. Mais vale perder um ganho que ganhar uma perda, a menos que se cumpra a Segunda Lei.
2. A expectativa de ganho deve superar a expectativa de perda, onde a expectativa mede a
__.amplitude média do ganho/perda contra a respectiva probabilidade.
3. A Primeira Lei não é mesmo necessária mas com Três Leis isto fica definitivamente mais giro.
Re: Ucrânia vs Rússia - Escalada de tensão
Russia revives barter trade to dodge Western sanctions
https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/wheat-chinese-cars-russia-turns-barter-skirt-sanctions-2025-09-15/
Pedro
Re: Ucrânia vs Rússia - Escalada de tensão
Não Base Aérea de Edwards, já estão 2 bombardeiros B-21 Raider, para continuar a fase de testes. A Northrop Grumman, tem mais 4 em diferentes fases de construção.
A Força Aérea dos EUA conta tê-los operacionais em 2030, e comprar 100 aviões.
https://x.com/OfficialCSAF/status/1966523792806560206
Pedro
A Força Aérea dos EUA conta tê-los operacionais em 2030, e comprar 100 aviões.
https://x.com/OfficialCSAF/status/1966523792806560206
Pedro
Re: Ucrânia vs Rússia - Escalada de tensão
Sertorio Escreveu:Estas notícias ( que são verdadeiras ) , mas que fazem parte da narrativa ocidental de que a Ucrânia está a ganhar a guerra .
Os objetivos são claros, de moldar as mentes das populações europeias , preparação da população para guerra , e que o investimento que ocidente está fazer está a produzir resultados ...
A situação de ontem no terreno está assim neste vídeo , os russos continuam a avançar .
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ijufu1RVHzk
Avanços significativos da Rússia continuam na região oriental de Dnipropetrovsk
...moldar as mentes das populações europeias...
Fogo, com estes videos que metes aqui...bem vemos quem fica moldado...
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Re: Ucrânia vs Rússia - Escalada de tensão
Is Gazprom's collapse the beginning of the end for Putin?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i1BFfEdPRTE
Re: Ucrânia vs Rússia - Escalada de tensão
Deixo vídeo do José António .
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sjnc_qczND0
El ciudadano ya no puede más: el caos ha llegado a Francia y Europa, y las élites tiemblan
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sjnc_qczND0
El ciudadano ya no puede más: el caos ha llegado a Francia y Europa, y las élites tiemblan
- Mensagens: 245
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Re: Ucrânia vs Rússia - Escalada de tensão
Estas notícias ( que são verdadeiras ) , mas que fazem parte da narrativa ocidental de que a Ucrânia está a ganhar a guerra .
Os objetivos são claros, de moldar as mentes das populações europeias , preparação da população para guerra , e que o investimento que ocidente está fazer está a produzir resultados ...
A situação de ontem no terreno está assim neste vídeo , os russos continuam a avançar .
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ijufu1RVHzk
Avanços significativos da Rússia continuam na região oriental de Dnipropetrovsk
Os objetivos são claros, de moldar as mentes das populações europeias , preparação da população para guerra , e que o investimento que ocidente está fazer está a produzir resultados ...
A situação de ontem no terreno está assim neste vídeo , os russos continuam a avançar .
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ijufu1RVHzk
Avanços significativos da Rússia continuam na região oriental de Dnipropetrovsk
- Mensagens: 245
- Registado: 1/6/2025 14:58
Re: Ucrânia vs Rússia - Escalada de tensão
Ucrânia ataca complexo petrolífero russo
Um drone ucraniano atingiu um dos maiores complexos de refinação de petróleo da Rússia, pertencente à empresa Bashneft, provocando um incêndio e danos ligeiros, segundo um responsável russo disse ao The Guardian. O complexo fica nos arredores da cidade central de Ufa, na região de Bashkortostão, a cerca de 1.400 km da linha da frente na Ucrânia.
Segundo vídeos partilhados nas redes sociais, o drone aproximou-se do complexo antes de explodir numa bola de fogo, levantando uma grande coluna de fumo. O chefe da região, Radiy Khabirov, descreveu o incidente ao jornal britânico como um “ataque terrorista por drones do tipo aeronave”.
Khabirov explicou que um drone atingiu a refinaria, enquanto outro foi abatido. Não houve vítimas nem feridos, e os danos materiais foram considerados ligeiros.
A agência de inteligência militar ucraniana GUR reivindicou a responsabilidade pelo ataque. Desde o início da ofensiva russa em fevereiro de 2022, a Ucrânia tem realizado ataques a refinarias russas para tentar reduzir a capacidade do Kremlin de financiar o conflito. Durante o verão, uma série de ataques ucranianos a refinarias russas afetou a capacidade de processamento de várias instalações importantes, contribuindo para o aumento do preço dos combustíveis.
O complexo de Ufa é considerado um dos maiores da Rússia, produzindo mais de 150 tipos de produtos petrolíferos, de acordo com informações do Kremlin em 2016.
https://sapo.pt/artigo/ucrania-ataca-co ... c1d6a57360
Ukraine hits one of Russia's largest oil refining complexes with explosive drone attack
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UW6X5LuWd_o
Re: Ucrânia vs Rússia - Escalada de tensão
A Rússia é o país mais sancionado do mundo , só se começarem a sancionar os país que têm relações comercias , vamos partir para um guerra económica planetária de consequências imprevisíveis .
Mas se os políticos europeus ingênuos se entrarem nessa deriva , cuidado que as consequências para economia europeias são dramáticas ...
A europa vai ficar isolada do mundo , e devido ao fanatismo vigente na elite política que não consegue resolver o conflito da ucrânia e da faixa de gaza , vão arrastar a europa para guerras civis regionais ( algumas profecias já referem isso ), estamos à beira do abismo .
Estou muito preocupado , só tenho esperança que políticos portugueses consigam afastarem o país destas possíveis tragédias que poderão acontecer .
Mas se os políticos europeus ingênuos se entrarem nessa deriva , cuidado que as consequências para economia europeias são dramáticas ...
A europa vai ficar isolada do mundo , e devido ao fanatismo vigente na elite política que não consegue resolver o conflito da ucrânia e da faixa de gaza , vão arrastar a europa para guerras civis regionais ( algumas profecias já referem isso ), estamos à beira do abismo .
Estou muito preocupado , só tenho esperança que políticos portugueses consigam afastarem o país destas possíveis tragédias que poderão acontecer .
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Re: Ucrânia vs Rússia - Escalada de tensão
EUA querem que países do G7 avancem com sanções à China e à Índia
Quero ver onde estao os Homens agora...
“It is not the strongest of the species that survives, nor the most intelligent, but rather the one most adaptable to change.”
― Leon C. Megginson
― Leon C. Megginson
Re: Ucrânia vs Rússia - Escalada de tensão
Zapad 2025: What the Russia–Belarus military exercise will reveal about Lukashenka’s intentions
https://www.chathamhouse.org/2025/09/zapad-2025-what-russia-belarus-military-exercise-will-reveal-about-lukashenkas-intentions
Pedro
Re: Ucrânia vs Rússia - Escalada de tensão
“The Russian EnteroMix cancer vaccine is now ready for clinical use,” the Russian Federal Medical and Biological Agency (FMBA) announced.
FMBA head Veronica Skvortsova said the mRNA-based vaccine had successfully passed preclinical trials, demonstrating both safety and high effectiveness. It showed significant results in shrinking tumours and slowing growth, and was found safe for repeated use. The vaccine will be tailored to each patient’s RNA, making it a fully personalised therapy.
Skvortsova added that while colorectal cancer is the initial focus, versions are also being developed for glioblastoma—a highly aggressive brain tumour—and specific forms of melanoma, a type of skin cancer.
A informaçao e confusa e nao se percebe se realmente esta so em fase preclinical ainda teria de passar outras fases antes de chegar a pubico.
Seria uma humilhaçao para o ocidente se a Russia conseguir uma vacina contra determinados tipos de cancro antes.
“It is not the strongest of the species that survives, nor the most intelligent, but rather the one most adaptable to change.”
― Leon C. Megginson
― Leon C. Megginson
Re: Ucrânia vs Rússia - Escalada de tensão
O Spasatel Demidov (Projeto MPSV07) é um navio com 73 metros e que custa 60 milhões de dólares.
A Rússia terá 4 navios destes.
https://x.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1966048144304570871
Pedro
A Rússia terá 4 navios destes.
https://x.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1966048144304570871
Pedro
Re: Ucrânia vs Rússia - Escalada de tensão
O Presidente da República, Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa, afirmou hoje que os membros da União Europeia e da NATO estão solidários, mas não belicistas, a propósito da incursão de drones denunciada pela Polónia.
“Estamos solidários, mas não estamos belicistas”, afirmou o chefe de Estado, em resposta aos jornalistas, à saída da Universidade Católica Portuguesa, em Lisboa.
Contra Trump um heroii.
Contra Putin um covarde.
“It is not the strongest of the species that survives, nor the most intelligent, but rather the one most adaptable to change.”
― Leon C. Megginson
― Leon C. Megginson
Re: Ucrânia vs Rússia - Escalada de tensão
Este episódio deu-se na véspera do exercício "Zapad-2025", e deverá ter sido intencional, para testar a rapidez e a determinação da Nato.
Continuo a achar, que o foco do Kremlin está no Báltico.

Pedro
Continuo a achar, que o foco do Kremlin está no Báltico.
Pedro
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