Fitch imita S&P e sobe "outlook" de Portugal para positivo mas vê défice de 0,8% este ano

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Deslocação de porta-aviões e caças para áreas de potencial conflito:

U.S. Carrier and Fighter Jets on the Move As Iran Op Rumors Swirl

Open-source intelligence (OSINT) trackers have confirmed the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) carrier strike group transiting the Strait of Malacca, while Air Force deployments ferry fighter jets closer to potential flashpoints.

https://www.jfeed.com/news-world/us-mil ... iddle-east

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USS ABRAHAM LINCOLN MOVES INTO STRIKE RANGE OF IRAN

The USS Abraham Lincoln is moving into a position where it could hit Iran within days. At its current pace, it’s in strike range around Jan 23.

That’s deliberate. You don’t sail a carrier that close unless you want Tehran to notice.

This doesn’t mean an attack is decided. It means the US is creating pressure. A carrier in range gives Washington options: airstrikes, deterrence, or just intimidation. It’s a way to say “we can act fast” without actually pulling the trigger.

Trump’s pattern matters here. He uses force as a bargaining chip. Big, visible military moves. Lots of uncertainty. Then he waits to see who blinks. He’s done this with Iran before. He’s done it with North Korea.

So the real question isn’t “will he attack on Jan 23.” It’s whether Iran does something dumb, or whether backchannel talks start because the clock suddenly feels real in Tehran.

Right now, this looks like leverage, not a launch countdown. But once the carrier is in place, mistakes get expensive fast.

Source: @MenchOsint

https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/2012878669656793432

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At least 5,000 people have been killed during Iran's nationwide protests, official says

https://www.france24.com/en/asia-pacifi ... s-official

President Trump calls for new leadership in Iran

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Algumas plataformas financeiras de previsão (prediction markets) mostraram que traders estavam a precificar uma alta probabilidade de ataque (até ~80%) em 2026, refletindo percepções de risco geopolítico - mas estes não são prognósticos oficiais nem garantias de que a ação militar aconteça.


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