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Espaço dedicado a todo o tipo de troca de impressões sobre os mercados financeiros e ao que possa condicionar o desempenho dos mesmos.

por karpediem » 8/4/2010 17:20

acintra Escreveu:Não percebo de AT, mas pelo o que vejo é que a resitencia de 4,31 quebrada ontem passou a ser hoje um suporte.
Vejo mais os 5 como próxima resistencia importante e por estarem quase todos os analistas a falarem desses valores.


Acintra,

tambem sei muito pouco de AT, mas concordo plenamente contigo em relação aos $5 como grande resistência, o $4.41 é uma pequena resistência que se deveu ao valor mais alto que teve nas ultima semana.
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por acintra » 8/4/2010 17:00

Não percebo de AT, mas pelo o que vejo é que a resitencia de 4,31 quebrada ontem passou a ser hoje um suporte.
Vejo mais os 5 como próxima resistencia importante e por estarem quase todos os analistas a falarem desses valores.
Um abraço e bons negócios.

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por karpediem » 8/4/2010 16:53

Peftoulas Escreveu:Boas

Comprei meio camião delas a 4,18 no outro dia e como não está correr muito mal estava a pensar acabar de encher a trailer:lol: ...acham que é boa altura ou devo esperar por uma melhor oportunidade? aceitam-se opiniões dos entendidos de todos os quadrantes de analises :)

Obrigado


Eu tambem estou dentro mas há mais tempo...

Neste momento a meu ver o Citi tem como suportes:
$4.2 e $4

A próxima resistencia é os $4.41 mas não é uma grande resistencia.

Em termos de indicadores aparentemente continuam virados para norte (MA 50, MA 200 EMA 15, RSI) mas nunca se sabe.

A decisão será sempre tua.
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por Peftoulas » 8/4/2010 16:42

Boas

Comprei meio camião delas a 4,18 no outro dia e como não está correr muito mal estava a pensar acabar de encher a trailer:lol: ...acham que é boa altura ou devo esperar por uma melhor oportunidade? aceitam-se opiniões dos entendidos de todos os quadrantes de analises :)

Obrigado
 
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por acintra » 7/4/2010 22:03

Quebrou a resistencia dos 4,31 com bom volume e num dia geralmente negativo.

Voltei a entrar ao final do dia, depois de confirmar que iria fechar acima da resistencia.
Um abraço e bons negócios.

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por NGFBrandao » 7/4/2010 17:52

Bem.. hoje o Citi está no bom caminho para fechar acima da Ema200.. esperemos que se mantenha assim..

Cumps

Nuno Brandao
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por NGFBrandao » 3/4/2010 14:42

Fica o gráfico..

Vamos lá ver se é esta semana que o Citi quebra de vez a EMA200, agora nos 4,31§.

cumps

Boa páscoa

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por Mobes » 31/3/2010 9:32

Banks face home loan pressure

Posted 03/30/2010 07:14 PM ET


Bank of America (BAC), Wells Fargo (WFC) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM) are among the banks that could suffer the greatest impact from growing pressure from the Obama administration to write off or forgive billions of dollars in principle for homeowners whose mortgages are worth more than their homes, researcher CreditSights said. Citigroup (C) is the least exposed of the top four banks.
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por Mobes » 31/3/2010 9:30

Karpediem!

Muito obrigado pela tua analise! Embora estando longo, penso que nao influenciou muito a tua analise!

Tinha a minha carteira muito exposta ao PSI20, e entao entrei longo tambem no citi. Deveria era ter aguardado, porque comprei-as 1 hora antes de sairem as noticias da venda por parte do governo americano. Escusado será dizer foi uma compra muito pouco pensada... Mais um errito de aprendizagem... devagarinho e com algumas cabeçadas vamos aprendendo! xD
Editado pela última vez por Mobes em 31/3/2010 9:35, num total de 1 vez.
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por acintra » 30/3/2010 12:11

Ontem mudei de opinião e acabei por vender as minhas a 4,20.

Tentou por 3 vezes ultrapassar a resistencia e não conseguiu, o euro está a subir e houve um sell on the news.
Vou aguardar pelo plano de venda da Morgan Stanley e depois tenho duas oportunidades de entrar.
Acima da resistencia ou proximo do valor que o estado adquiriu 3,25.
Um abraço e bons negócios.

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Bove Says Buy Citi Now, Raises Price Target

por karpediem » 30/3/2010 12:06

Bove Says Buy Citi Now, Raises Price Target

The US government will probably be able to sell its stake in Citigroup without disturbing the market too much, Dick Bove, banking analyst at Rochdale Securities, told CNBC Monday.

Bove changed his recommendation for the stock to a "buy," saying the sale of the Treasury Department's stake was already priced in.

Until now, Bove had advised investors to wait for the unwinding of the government's 7.7 billion shares before buying the stock.

"I think the mathematics work out that (the government) probably can get rid of the stock without shaking the market too much," Bove told "Squawk Box."

According to traders, around 800 million shares change hands each day, so the government could sell about 8 to10 percent of its shares each day, he explained, adding: "by September or October they should be out of the position."

Even though Citigroup is likely to lose money over the next two quarters, investors should watch the bank's fundamentals, which are good, and should start buying it now, Bove said.

"Up until my customers started banging on me a couple of weeks ago, I was saying wait until the government get out of the stock," he said, explaining his changing of view over the best time to buy the bank's stock.

"But they kept saying that this thing is so well known that it's in the price of the stock, that it will be possible to get rid of the stock over a long period without shaking the market," Bove added.

He upgraded his stock price target for Citi as well, from $7 on March 10 to $8.50 and reiterated his opinion that the part of the bank that will survive after a restructuring process has earning power of 70 cents a share.

CNBC has learned that Morgan Stanley has won a hotly-contested competition among Wall Street investment banks to be the underwriter and advisor on the sale of the U.S. government's stake in Citigroup, one of the biggest stock sales in history.

© 2010 CNBC
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por karpediem » 30/3/2010 11:57

Mobes Escreveu:Será que existe alguma alma caridosa que me faça uma breve analise ao C?!?

e que efeitos pensa que a venda dos titulos do C por parte do governo dos EUA pode ter?

Obrg!

Olá Mobes,

Do que acompanho e do olho de maçarico que tenho para os graficos o Citi falhou o fecho acima da resistencia 4.31 e neste momento está perto da MA 10. Tinha dois suportes, um a 4.22 e outro a 4. Ontem quebrou um dos suportes mas mantem o suporte de 4 (que pode ser um bom valor de reentrada).

Penso que o mercado tem capacidade para absorver todas as acções que o governo vai vender e acredito que continua o seu sentido ascente. Como podes ver no grafico as medias continuam ascendentes (que é um sinal bull). A MACD continua com bons sinais, o RSI é que ontem inverteu um pouco.

Neste momento a pre abertura está positiva...

Nota - Estou longo na acção logo posso enviazar um pouco a análise, contudo esta é a minha opinião...
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por Mobes » 30/3/2010 10:38

Será que existe alguma alma caridosa que me faça uma breve analise ao C?!?

e que efeitos pensa que a venda dos titulos do C por parte do governo dos EUA pode ter?

Obrg!
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por acintra » 29/3/2010 14:37

Treasury to Sell Citigroup Stake in 2010
By Michael Baron 03/29/10 - 09:30 AM EDT

Loading Comments...
Add CommentStock quotes in this article: C NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Citigroup(C) shares ticked higher just ahead of Monday's opening bell after the U.S. Treasury said it plans to sell its stake of 7.7 billion common shares in the company this year.
The stock was up 7 cents, or nearly 2%, to $4.38 in recent trades with roughly 23.5 million shares changing hands, according to Nasdaq.com.
The stake stems from Citigroup's participation in the Capital Purchase Program, and it represents about 27% of the company's outstanding common stock.
Morgan Stanley(MS) will serve as underwriter for the stake's disposal, which Citigroup said would take place "over the course of 2010 subject to market conditions." A pre-arranged written trading plan is to be worked up for the exit, but further details weren't disclosed.
The Treasury noted that the sale of the common shares doesn't affect its holdings of Citigroup trust preferred securities or warrants for its common stock.
Citigroup's stock is up more than 30% year-to-date based on Friday's close at $4.31. The Treasury holds its common shares at $3.25 each.
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Unitus Teams Up With OPIC & Citi to Make $15 Million Ava

por Mobes » 29/3/2010 9:43

SEATTLE, Mar 29, 2010 (BUSINESS WIRE) --

In their ongoing effort to empower the world's poor through microfinance, international nonprofit Unitus, Inc., the Overseas Private Investment Corporation (OPIC), and Citi have finalized a $15 million credit facility that will help foster growth among high-potential microfinance institutions (MFIs) and create more opportunities for families working their way out of poverty.

The agreement will match the strong partner relationships and expert due diligence capabilities of Unitus with the capital and credit approval capacity of OPIC. When enabled by Citi's global banking network, the facility will deliver much needed financial resources to microfinance institutions serving underserved communities worldwide.

"There is a lot of money going into what could be termed Tier I MFIs -- those already possessing a level of scale and track record that make it relatively easy to attract commercial equity and debt. This deal targets smaller, younger Tier II and III MFIs providing similar microfinance services while in far more complicated fundraising positions," said Richard Wardell, Unitus's VP of Global Programs. "Our hope is that this work will catalyze the growth of another generation of Tier I MFIs, thus creating more opportunities for more families to improve their lives."

The eight-year revolving debt and guarantee facility will see Unitus and OPIC sharing the risk on a series of transactions supporting high-potential MFIs. The deal limits the amount any single MFI can receive to $2 million, and loans to start-up and early stage MFIs in aggregate cannot exceed $12 million. With a presence in over 100 countries, Citi's global network will provide local currency lending to minimize foreign exchange risk for these MFIs.

Dr. Lawrence Spinelli, Acting President of OPIC, said, "Projects such as this -- empowering smaller MFIs during a time when capital available to them is scarce -- are critical to the ongoing success of microfinance. OPIC is pleased to work with Unitus and Citi to strengthen the MFI network globally so that microentrepeneurs can, in turn, generate economic growth in their local communities."

While OPIC has been working to support microfinance for many years -- including its recently announced $250 million Global Microfinance Program with Citi -- this is its first catalytic debt facility targeting early stage MFIs.

"Citi is pleased to be able to expand its long term partnership with OPIC and Unitus to extend local currency financing to emerging MFIs, supporting micro-entrepreneurship and stimulating economic growth," said Bob Annibale, Global Director Citi Microfinance. Citi's US Commercial Bank has developed expertise in serving the microfinance industry through the structuring of innovative financial products and services.

"In a very practical way, this facility will allow us to amplify the impact of the resources already at our disposal," commented Wardell. "The confidence OPIC is showing in us reinforces what our supporters already know -- that Unitus is committed to doing the greatest amount of good for the greatest number of families in need."

About Unitus

Unitus, an international nonprofit organization, fights global poverty by accelerating the growth of microfinance--small loans and other financial tools for self-empowerment--where it is needed most. We target our efforts in high-need regions of the developing world where microfinance has promise but is struggling to grow. In less than a decade, we've helped our partners serve more than 10 million families throughout India and Southeast Asia, East Africa, Mexico, and South America.

Unitus is a 501(c)(3) with offices in Seattle, USA, Bangalore, India and Nairobi, Kenya. For more information, please visit www.unitus.com.

About OPIC

OPIC was established as an agency of the U.S. government in 1971. It helps U.S. businesses invest overseas, fosters economic development in new and emerging markets, complements the private sector in managing risks associated with foreign direct investment, and supports U.S. foreign policy. Because OPIC charges market-based fees for its products, it operates on a self-sustaining basis at no net cost to taxpayers.

OPIC's political risk insurance and financing help U.S. businesses of all sizes invest in more than 150 emerging markets and developing nations worldwide. Over the agency's 38-year history, OPIC has supported $188 billion worth of investments that have helped developing countries to generate over 830,000 host-country jobs. OPIC projects have also generated $72 billion in U.S. exports and supported more than 273,000 American jobs. Visit OPIC on the web at www.opic.gov.

About Citi

Working across Citi's businesses, product groups and geographies, Citi Microfinance serves more than 100 microfinance institutions (MFIs), networks and investors as clients and partners in over 40 countries with products and services spanning the financial spectrum -- from financing, access to capital markets, transaction services and hedging foreign exchange risk, to credit, savings, remittances and insurance products - to expand access to financial services for the underserved. www.citi.com/citi/microfinance

Citi, the leading global financial services company, has approximately 200 million customer accounts and does business in more than 140 countries. Through its two operating units, Citicorp and Citi Holdings, Citi provides consumers, corporations, governments and institutions with a broad range of financial products and services, including consumer banking and credit, corporate and investment banking, securities brokerage, and wealth management. Additional information may be found at www.citigroup.com or www.citi.com.

Photos/Multimedia Gallery Available: http://www.businesswire.com/cgi-bin/mmg ... 47&lang=en

SOURCE: Citi
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Citigroup (NYSE: C) to Develop Hedge Consulting Team

por Mobes » 29/3/2010 9:42

Citigroup’s head of global prime finance told Bloomberg News last week that the bank plans on doubling the size of its team which helps government-backed and pension funds manage their direct hedge fund investments.

The executive, Nick Roe, told Bloomberg that the growth of the consulting team could come together within the next two years.

Sovereign wealth funds, pension funds and foundations are quickly becoming the largest set of hedge fund investors in the world as the global hedge fund industry nears a recovery.

Bloomberg noted that these investors are investing more directly in hedge funds rather than going through the standard route of investing in fund-of-funds. The trend has placed an increased demand on firms that offer consulting services on Hedge Funds such as Citigroup.

“We see it as one of the major growth areas for us,” Mr. Roe told Bloomberg. “The pension funds, the institutional asset market are going directly to hedge funds. It was the reverse of what the investor profile was two years ago.”
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Citigroup (C) Stock Rewards Investors

por emanuelmfs » 26/3/2010 16:29

Investors in Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:C) have been loving the action on Wall Street this week. Shares of C are trading for $4.36 a share. That’s extremely nice appreciation from one month ago when the price was $3.40 a share.

A number of large institutional investors have been purchasing C shares, as the government announced it’s planning to divest itself of its 27% stake in shares. The uncertainty behind when the government would sell and how it would sells shares has been affecting Citigroup stock. The Treasury Department will probably sell shares using a pre-set trading program. It looks like there are enough interested parties who will pick up their shares on the open market.

Nearly 1 billion shares of Citigroup stock traded hands yesterday as the uncertainty over the divestiture began to diminish.

Sandler O’Neill analyst Jeff Harte thinks the Treasury sale could be a positive.

“Divestiture through a blind trust or other ‘discretionary’ account managed by a fiduciary makes sense to us and would be an incremental positive for C shares,” wrote.

Harte thinks that when the government leaves, institutional investors will be coming back in. That could mean share appreciation on huge volume, which is a necessary prerequisite for major stock moves.

“We have stressed repeatedly that there is a large pool of potential incremental institutional buyers for what appears to be largely under-owned C shares. Institutional investor ownership of C has been on the rise, but remains well below historical and current peer group levels. Institutional investors and mutual funds currently own 39.6% and 12.8% of C shares versus 74.3% and 35.2% of peer group shares, respectively,” wrote Harte.

A gradual and well-planned exit from the shares could bring in the ‘big boys’ who are buying shares knowing that the U.S. government control over Citi is diminishing. These institutions would then hold ownership of shares in a new, aggressive Citigroup, which is in the midst of a massive turnaround. If institutional investors think that CEO Vikram Pandit is engineering a proper comeback for the company, then buying shares now makes a great deal of sense.

With any other company, the fact the government is ‘dumping’ 7.7 billion shares in the open market would be a ‘game over’ moment. But no other company has the stock market liquidity of C, especially if heavyweights come in buying by the truck load. As institutions ‘load the aircraft carriers’ with C shares, the government stake will eventually be reduced to zero. That will be pleasant news for any of us who hates to see government intervention in business. Without such close government oversight, Citi could start looking for the kinds of profits it needs to once again be a darling of Wall Street.

Citigroup shares remain a STRONG BUY, unless the prevailing winds suddenly blow in a different direction. If an uptick in business continues, along with an orderly exit of Big Brother from shareholding, then C shares are likely to outperform the market for a significant period of time.

fonte: http://www.timesoftheinternet.com/brief ... investors/
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Treasury Said to Have Plan for Sale of Citi

por acintra » 26/3/2010 12:58

March 26, 2010, 7:37 am
The U.S. Treasury may unveil a preset trading plan next month for the sale of its 27 percent stake in Citigroup, Bloomberg reported, citing people with direct knowledge of the matter.

Citigroup shares rose 2.9 percent to close at $4.27 following the report, which soothed investor fears that the United States would dump large blocks of shares on the market, Reuters said.

The Treasury plan will lock the government into a schedule for selling its shares with the aim of eliminating any concerns that the sales are based on nonpublic information, Bloomberg said. The Treasury would issue instructions on how many shares to sell and at what price, it said.

Citigroup has posted more than $100 billion of writedowns and credit losses since late 2007 and the bank’s shares have lost 90 percent of their value since late 2006, with the bank requiring three different government rescues in 2008 and 2009.
Stake
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por acintra » 26/3/2010 1:32

Hoje não teve força, para ficar acima da resistência.
Vamos ver como se porta amanhã!?
Um abraço e bons negócios.

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por knightbrg » 25/3/2010 17:28

Experimenta:
http://batstrading.com/book/C/
Na caixabi a cotaçãoi está atrasada 15 minutros.
Cumps.

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por acintra » 25/3/2010 17:08

Conseguem-me explicar porque é que as quantidades no BPINet não estão correctas?
Ou sou eui a dizer uma bacorada? :oops:

CITIGROUP
[Nova Iorque Moeda: USD Mar 25 16:06:00] Negociar

Último Dif. Var.% Qtd. Tot Abt Min Max Ant
4.35 0.20 4.82% 68,422,200 4.25 4.23 4.38 4.15

Ofertas Quantidade Compra
832 4.35

Venda Quantidade Ofertas
4.36 12,689
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por karpediem » 25/3/2010 16:57

emanuelmfs Escreveu:citigroup quebra resistencia: 4.38 com 451 milhoes de acções transaccionadas em duas horas.

media de transacções/dia= 465 milhoes.

resta saber se mantem a pujança ate ao fim da sessao


Esse é o problema de todas as quebras de resistencia. Em termos de AT pelo pouco que percebo estão com sinais Bull (MA e EMA com sentido ascendente), tanto o RSI e o MACD estão positivos, so saliento o facto do RSI estar acima dos 70 que mostra ainda potencial para puder subir se o touros forem mais decididos.
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por emanuelmfs » 25/3/2010 16:45

citigroup quebra resistencia: 4.38 com 451 milhoes de acções transaccionadas em duas horas.

media de transacções/dia= 465 milhoes.

resta saber se mantem a pujança ate ao fim da sessao
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Citigroup: Thursday's Headlines

por acintra » 25/3/2010 15:39

Gostava de ter a Vossa opinião sobre esta venda do estado de 27% do C.
Eu acho que depende ao valor que for colocado vai fazer a cotação cair ou cair muito, mas depois retomará o seu caminho bull por estar liberta desta pressão.

Estamos quase na resistencia, 4,31 e com mais de 40 milhoes de acções transacionadas na 1ª hora, creio que está com força para a ultrapassar.

[quote]By Robert Holmes 03/25/10 - 08:58 AM EDT

Treasury Planning Citigroup Stake Sale: Report -- The Treasury Department is planning to unload its 27% stake in Citigroup (C) through a preset trading plan that will follow a schedule for selling shares, Bloomberg reported, citing people with direct knowledge of the matter. The program, which may be announced next month, is similar to those used by executives to protect themselves against accusations of insider trading, the people told Bloomberg.
Um abraço e bons negócios.

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por Allf » 24/3/2010 0:30

Muito perto da resistência.
Coloquei aquela Lta apenas por orientação pois para já ainda não a considero válida.
Abr
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