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Dados pra hoje ...

Espaço dedicado a todo o tipo de troca de impressões sobre os mercados financeiros e ao que possa condicionar o desempenho dos mesmos.

por paubo » 3/8/2009 15:02

Dados EUA:
US ISM Manufacturing (Jul) 48.9 vs. 46.5 esp e 44.8 prior.
US Construction Spending MoM (Jun) 0.3% vs. -0.5% esp e -0.9% prior
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por paubo » 3/8/2009 10:37

Obrigado, essa passou.
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por razalas » 3/8/2009 10:14

Paubo, já agora: German retail sales -1,4% esperados 0,4%.
 
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por paubo » 3/8/2009 9:31

Dados UK :
PMI Manufacturing : 50.8 (Esp. 47.8)
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por paubo » 3/8/2009 9:27

Dados ZonaEuro :
PMI Manufacturing : 46.3 (esp. 46.0)
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por - GOE - » 31/7/2009 14:04

Um factor a ter em conta é que hoje é dia 31, e normalmente nestes dias há sempre puxadas em determinados títulos para melhorarem a performance dos fundos, o que pode levar a acontecerem movimentos "estranhos" durante e no fecho de sessão..

Bons negócios :wink:
 
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por MNFV » 31/7/2009 13:59

Eu acredito que o guião estava montado fossem quais fossem os dados. Creio que os market movers têm meios para antever o GDP concerteza.
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por - GOE - » 31/7/2009 13:58

The Mechanic Escreveu:
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- The U.S. economy contracted at a much smaller pace in the second quarter of the year, the Commerce Department reported Friday, suggesting that the trough of the recession has been reached.

Real gross domestic product -- the inflation-adjusted, seasonally adjusted value of all goods and services produced in the economy -- fell at a 1.0% annualized rate in the second quarter, well below the average 5.9% decline over the last six months.

The rate of contraction for the first quarter was revised down to a 6.4% drop compared with the prior estimate of a 5.5% decline.

Although the latest data are "less worse" than in prior months, the severity of the recent recession came into sharp focus because this is the first time since the Great Depression that the economy contracted for four consecutive quarters.

In the past four quarters, the economy has fallen a record low 3.9%

The big story for the second quarter was that businesses slowed their frenetic efforts to cut back investment, stockpiles and investment.

As planned, the federal stimulus package kicked in, boosting government spending.

The trade sector also bolstered the economy in the April-through-June quarter.

The 1.0% decline in GDP was smaller/larger than the 1.2% contraction expected by economists surveyed by MarketWatch.

The Federal Reserve expects growth to return in the current quarter, Fed chief Ben Bernanke said earlier this week. The Fed expects positive growth at around a 1.0% annual rate in the final six months of the year, Bernanke said in an extraordinary town hall meeting with residents of Kansas City.

President Barack Obama chimed in as well, saying on Thursday that he was expecting a negative quarterly growth rate for the second quarter.

Obama said he had not seen the gross domestic product figures to be released on Friday, but he referred to a consensus by economists that the U.S. economy had seen a "significant slowing down of the contraction over the last several months."

Although job losses remain ata level he called too high, they were not proceeding at the pace that was seen at the beginning of the year, Obama said.

"I suspect that the GDP numbers will still show that the economy contracted in the second quarter (and) that job loss is still a huge problem," the president said.

"We're not going to rest until we have seen not just a technical improvement in GDP, but until the American people's job prospects, their incomes have rebounded. And that's going to take some time," he said.

For economists, the report on the second quarter, now already a month passed, is old news. They are primarily interested in any hints of how the economy entered the third quarter.


GOE , lê isto , que é bastante interessante .

Básicamente, embora o GDP até tenha saido melhor que o esperado, a verdade é que pela 1ª vez desde a Grande Depressão, caiu 4 trimestre consecutivos e daí a reacção primária dos futuros .

Os responsáveis esperam agora um regresso ao crescimento (1%) no próximo trimestre e no fundo, o que todos estão à espera , como eles dizem , é dos outlooks para o futuro uma vez que esta noticia "é passado".

Um abraço ,

The Mechanic


Texto interessante sem dúvida.

Também demonstra outra possível interpretação. Há tantas.. Eheh :)

Mas esta queda das duas uma, ou é falsa e daqui a pouco está anulada, ou então estamos a dar inicio à tão aguardada correcção, que possivelmente nos levaria em torno dos 950pts, e seria bastante saudável para entrarem "compradores novos" no mercado..

Lets see :wink:
 
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por The Mechanic » 31/7/2009 13:51

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- The U.S. economy contracted at a much smaller pace in the second quarter of the year, the Commerce Department reported Friday, suggesting that the trough of the recession has been reached.

Real gross domestic product -- the inflation-adjusted, seasonally adjusted value of all goods and services produced in the economy -- fell at a 1.0% annualized rate in the second quarter, well below the average 5.9% decline over the last six months.

The rate of contraction for the first quarter was revised down to a 6.4% drop compared with the prior estimate of a 5.5% decline.

Although the latest data are "less worse" than in prior months, the severity of the recent recession came into sharp focus because this is the first time since the Great Depression that the economy contracted for four consecutive quarters.

In the past four quarters, the economy has fallen a record low 3.9%

The big story for the second quarter was that businesses slowed their frenetic efforts to cut back investment, stockpiles and investment.

As planned, the federal stimulus package kicked in, boosting government spending.

The trade sector also bolstered the economy in the April-through-June quarter.

The 1.0% decline in GDP was smaller/larger than the 1.2% contraction expected by economists surveyed by MarketWatch.

The Federal Reserve expects growth to return in the current quarter, Fed chief Ben Bernanke said earlier this week. The Fed expects positive growth at around a 1.0% annual rate in the final six months of the year, Bernanke said in an extraordinary town hall meeting with residents of Kansas City.

President Barack Obama chimed in as well, saying on Thursday that he was expecting a negative quarterly growth rate for the second quarter.

Obama said he had not seen the gross domestic product figures to be released on Friday, but he referred to a consensus by economists that the U.S. economy had seen a "significant slowing down of the contraction over the last several months."

Although job losses remain ata level he called too high, they were not proceeding at the pace that was seen at the beginning of the year, Obama said.

"I suspect that the GDP numbers will still show that the economy contracted in the second quarter (and) that job loss is still a huge problem," the president said.

"We're not going to rest until we have seen not just a technical improvement in GDP, but until the American people's job prospects, their incomes have rebounded. And that's going to take some time," he said.

For economists, the report on the second quarter, now already a month passed, is old news. They are primarily interested in any hints of how the economy entered the third quarter.


GOE , lê isto , que é bastante interessante .

Básicamente, embora o GDP até tenha saido melhor que o esperado, a verdade é que pela 1ª vez desde a Grande Depressão, caiu 4 trimestre consecutivos e daí a reacção primária dos futuros .

Os responsáveis esperam agora um regresso ao crescimento (1%) no próximo trimestre e no fundo, o que todos estão à espera , como eles dizem , é dos outlooks para o futuro uma vez que esta noticia "é passado".

Um abraço ,

The Mechanic
" Os que hesitam , são atropelados pela retaguarda" - Stendhal
"É óptimo não se exercer qualquer profissão, pois um homem livre não deve viver para servir outro "
- Aristoteles

http://theflyingmechanic.blogspot.com/
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por - GOE - » 31/7/2009 13:36

Engraçado, os futuros caíram imediatamente após a saída do dado, o que poderá revelar, pelo menos de momento, que este rally já está a descontar bastantes noticias positivas..
 
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por The Mechanic » 31/7/2009 13:33

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch)

The U.S. economy contracted at a much smaller rate than in the past six months, the Commerce Department reported Friday. Real gross domestic product fell at a 1.0% annualized rate in the second quarter, compared with an average 5.9% drop over the past two quarters.
However, this is the fourth straight quarter with a contraction in GDP. This has never happened before since records began in 1947.

The big story for the second quarter was in the much smaller decrease in business investment, exports and inventories.

There was also an upturn in federal and state government spending.

The government also released comprehensive benchmark revisions to GDP data, but they did little to change the basic story of the economy.
" Os que hesitam , são atropelados pela retaguarda" - Stendhal
"É óptimo não se exercer qualquer profissão, pois um homem livre não deve viver para servir outro "
- Aristoteles

http://theflyingmechanic.blogspot.com/
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por paubo » 31/7/2009 13:31

Dados EUA:
GDP QoQ (Anualizado) 2Q -1.0% (esp -1.5%)
Personal Consumption 2Q -1.2% (esp -0.5%)
GDP Price Index 2Q 0.2% (esp 1.0%)
Core PCE QoQ 2Q 2.0% (esp 2.3%)
Employment Cost Index 2Q 0.4% (esp 0.3%)
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por Elias » 31/7/2009 10:55

Hoje às 13h30 saem os dados do GDP do segundo trimestre nos states.
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por paubo » 31/7/2009 10:18

Dados ZonaEuro :
CPI : -0.6 (esp. -0.4%),
Unemployment : 9.4% (esp. 9.7%)
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por paubo » 30/7/2009 13:42

Dados EUA :
Initial Jobless Claims : 584k (esp 575k),
Continuing Claims : 6197k (esp. 6300k)
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por paubo » 30/7/2009 13:06

MASTERCARD 2Q EPS $2.67; EST. $2.42
EXXON MOBIL 3Q ADJUSTED EPS 84C, EST. 99C
EXXON MOBIL 2Q PROFIT EX-ITEMS 84C; EST. 99C
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por president » 30/7/2009 10:04

30 Jul 2009 at 09:03:52 (GMT)
Dados ZonaEuro :
Business Climate Indicator : -2.71 (esp. -2.83),
EuroZone Consumer Confidence : -23 (esp -24),
EuroZone Economic Confidence : 76.0 (esp. 75.0),
Industrial Confidence : -30 (esp -30),
Services Confidence : -18 (esp -19)
You're never too old to learn something stupid (;
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por paubo » 30/7/2009 8:56

Dados Alemanha :
Unemployment Rate : 8.3% (esp. 8.4%)
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por Elias » 29/7/2009 13:38

Dados fresquinhos: bens duráveis (saiu abaixo do esperado)
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por Razao_Pura » 28/7/2009 16:26

Flat a info sobre o Consumer Confidence que saiu abaixo das expectativas:

Tue Jul 28 Release Impact For Actual Expected Prior
9:00 AM S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index May -17.06% -17.90% -18.10%
10:00 AM Consumer Confidence Jul 46.6 49.0 49.3
Trade the trend.
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por paubo » 28/7/2009 14:05

dados USA:
May Case-Shiller home prices +0,5% MOM for Comp-20 index, for -17,1% YOY. This is the first gain since summer 2006.
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por Razao_Pura » 28/7/2009 10:54

Hoje espera os dados do Consumer Confidence (USA)entre outros:


Release For Expected Prior
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index May: -17.90% -18.12%
Consumer Confidence Jul: 49.0 49.3
Trade the trend.
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por Elias » 27/7/2009 15:05

Dados EUA: New Home Sales muito acima do esperado, mercados dispararam.

Fonte dos dados: bloomberg
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por paubo » 27/7/2009 9:42

Dados ZonaEuro :
Eurozone M3 YoY : 3.5% (esp. 3.5%),
EuroZone M3 3mth : 4.1% (esp. 4.0%)
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por paubo » 24/7/2009 15:05

Dados EUA :
U. Michigan Confidence : 66.0 (esp.65.0, anterior 64.6)
oopppsss parece que repeti a informaçao dado pelo elias :oops:
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