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Ulisses, podias postar ...

Espaço dedicado a todo o tipo de troca de impressões sobre os mercados financeiros e ao que possa condicionar o desempenho dos mesmos.

como intrepetam isso?

por cmafonso » 28/5/2003 20:45

e quem esta a comprar?de onde saem as vendas para as compras?obrigado.
 
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por Incognitus » 28/5/2003 20:42

O único tipo de venda "pura" que há no mercado neste momento parecem ser os insiders.
 
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por Incognitus » 28/5/2003 20:40

É verdade, quase não há venda. Nos últimos 20 dias, 33% das vendas no S&P500 foram shorts. Simplesmente não há venda natural.

A guerra teve 2 efeitos. Primeiro, o optimismo criou compra. Depois, e isso é que está a eternizar o rally, o optimismo eliminou venda ...
 
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por Ulisses Pereira » 28/5/2003 20:34

Aqui está ele.

Um abraço,
Ulisses

"Why We're Not Rolling Over"

By James J. Cramer
05/28/2003 03:04 PM EDT


"Feels like it wants to roll over but can't. It's like the sellers are lurking, waiting for some negative news to pounce on. But they don't.

And I have a theory why they don't. If you are a mutual fund manager, all you are thinking about is missing the move. As in, when you wake up in the morning and your spouse asks you how you are, you say "I am worried about missing the move." And when you get to the office, all you can think is "I am missing the move." And when you go home at night, you say, "Looks like I missed the move."


The whole dialogue plays out again the next morning. These managers remind me of my cat, Iverson. I think he is always walking around with a continuous loop tape in his head that says "I am hungry, I am hungry, I am hungry," even when he just finished eating!

If you are having that dialogue with yourself, you aren't a seller. You're a buyer! That means the only people who are really causing this sensation of being about to roll over are people who can try to force a rollover in the futures and options or people without a lot of capital at stake.

It was so much easier to have a rollover when redemptions were occurring, wasn't it?

So we bob and weave and wait for real sellers to develop, of which there are very few right now. That doesn't mean we can't go down 30 to 50 points over a couple of days.

But it does mean we aren't going to get hammered. We are just going to meander around these levels for the foreseeable future. "

(in www.realmoney.com)
"Acreditar é possuir antes de ter..."

Ulisses Pereira

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Ulisses, podias postar ...

por Incognitus » 28/5/2003 20:30

Podias postar este artigo do Cramer? "Why We're Not Rolling Over"

Obrigado.
 
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