Após quarto maior ganho de sempre, Martifer afunda 15% com a OPA

[mad cow bull]

Acho que o Mohan não é um scalper, antes procura negociar tendências intraday, baseadas na reacção aos pontos que ele chama buy pivot target, sell pivot target, value area, etc.
Ele tem-se queixado muitas vezes da falta de volatilidade e dos ranges apertados do SP500.
Só há alguns meses é que fez algumas alterações ao seu método para tentar apanhar pequenos movimentos, mas acho que esses set-ups só estão disponíveis em real-time para os subscritores.

[Waterman]

É um Scalper (??), e dá-se muito bem em ranges apertados...

Quando a coisa flui demasiado num sentido, corre-lhe mal.

Não é o meu tipo de setup, mas há quem goste muito deste tipo de day-trading.

Abraço

[mad cow bull]

Bom dia. Hoje o Mohan madrugou
Parece-me que ele é muito bom a identificar os pontos chave do SP500, mas ultimamente está a atravessar uma fase muito má no trading, perdendo quase todos os dias.
Por exemplo, ontem ele identificou um suporte a 1110 mas também disse que o target do sell mode eram os 1100. Estando em sell mode não teria sido mais lógico entrar curto na quebra dos 1110, ou pelo menos fazer stop and reverse quando foi stopado a 1108 ?
O que pensam os seguidores do Mohan ?

[alex01]

No Headline Call today due to Options Expiration. Look for market to now find support at the 1100.00 handle or start 2nd phase of Sell Mode below 1100.00
ESZ04 S&P500 E-mini Futures
Friday, October 15, 2004
Prev Day - SP
Range: 13.50 Value Area
Range: 8.50 TCF Key Numbers for ES
1,126.50 Pit Bull MA
High 1,115.50
Open 1,113.30
1,111.75-1,110.75 Sell Pivot
1,110.60
Close 1,103.10
1,102.10
Low 1,102.00
1,098.25-1,099.25 Buy Pivot



Trade Setup Summary for Thursday, October 14, 2004:
B@1110.50/S@1108.25 -2.25

Recap of Thursday's Action:
Good Morning. Today is Options Expirations Friday and we do not make Headline Calls on these days or look for trade opportunities.

Thursday saw the market get pounded further after the first hour of trading. We were looking for early drops to find some support but with the Mega Bearish High Five there was no such support coming in.

Here are my Wrap Up comments from the Live Service.

"We were looking for lower early prices today to be supportive of a bounce off the lows.

Also with caution as it was not clear if we had bottomed out at 1109.60 from the previous day or if prices were going to get tested further to the downside.

As prices opened at 1113.25 +1.00 point higher we began looking for a spot to get long. Stalling signals on the initial drop came in at 1109.50 and we got long at 1110.50. Our tight stop was at 1108.25 and as the 1109.50 lost support on the 11:40est candle prices got pushed lower on the next one minute candle taking out our stop for a -2.25 loss.

At that point the market drifted lower towards 1106-7.00 and seeing a mega bearish High Five decided it was better to stand aside on any regular trades at that point. We tried some bottom fishing lower on an Optional trade basis using extremely tight stops but both of those trades failed to bounce as the market was very heavy with the Bearish mood."

Today's Call & Briefing:
No recommended trading today as the Options Expiration days can be very choppy and higher risk due to different option positions being unwound by large commercials and institutional traders.

Bias is neutral and we are looking for 1100.00 support to create higher prices today.

If prices cannot hold 1100.00 then next serious level support lower is 1089.00

The opening price is very important also today in looking for support or resistance. Holding above the open or pushing below it and recovering to rise above it is a bullish sign for higher prices today.

We are now on the verge of Rolling out of the Sell Mode and into a new Buy Mode. Today and next few trading sessions will give more clues as to times this will occur.

Value Area: 1,102.10 - 1,110.60
Watch for support and resistance today. Market Trading above 1110.60 sets up a counter move higher and possibly signals the bottom of Sell Mode at 1102.00

Buy Pivot Target: 1,098.25 - 1,099.25
No trade at this pivot target today. Support is here.

Sell Pivot Target: 1,111.75 - 1,110.75
No Trade at this target. This is same resistance area as top of the VA. Should hold back any buying if the market is continued bearish. Above 1111.00 could launch a move back to 1123.00

10 Day "Pit Bull" Moving Average: 1,126.50
This 1126.00 price keeps showing up and was our original Sell Mode entry level some weeks ago. Today it is the Pit Bull level to keep up a Sell Rallies mentality.

Pro Trader's Action
Today is expected to be choppy with slightly higher price testing going on. The Option expiration could turn either way but often is just a neutralizing sort of day.

Have a good weekend and will look forward to the action next week. All the best to you and your family there. Mohan