Cramer: "Intel Downgrade's Just Another Bad Call"
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Cramer: "Intel Downgrade's Just Another Bad Call"
Muito bem, Cramer, indo buscar factos concretos para apontar o dedo à forma como se fazem os "upgrades" e "downgrades" de que ele é sempre tão crítico.
"Intel Downgrade's Just Another Bad Call"
By James J. Cramer
RealMoney Columnist
3/1/2004 10:38 AM EST
"Before you think about selling your Intel (INTC:Nasdaq - commentary - research) because you think the J.P. Morgan analyst who downgraded it is the ax in the name, consider his record first. This guy's no ax; he's more like a disposable razor! His calls look good only if you turn the chart upside down.
The dates and prices say it more eloquently than I can. On Dec. 13, 2003, before Intel began its historic run from the teens, Christopher Danley rated the stock an underweight, or a sell, in busted Wall Street gibberish.
He took the stock to a hold on Sept. 25, 2003, when it was at $27. On Nov. 7, 2003, with the stock at $33.80 after the preannouncements to the upside, Danley took the stock to an overweight. That's when he recommended it. I kid you not -- I can't make up this stuff.
Now, when the stock is at $29, he downgrades it.
This is value-subtracted, writ large. If this were major league baseball, this guy would be sent to the minors so fast his head would be spinning.
Instead, they probably will give him a raise.
There was a time when we couldn't piece together records like this and you would have had no idea how bad his calls have been. There also was a time when people wouldn't write so openly about a bad record. Call it diplomacy -- or ad-chasing.
These days, though, you get everything pretty unvarnished.
This guy should be riding an unvarnished bench somewhere. Sobering how bad professionals in our business can be, isn't it? "
(in www.realmoney.com)
"Intel Downgrade's Just Another Bad Call"
By James J. Cramer
RealMoney Columnist
3/1/2004 10:38 AM EST
"Before you think about selling your Intel (INTC:Nasdaq - commentary - research) because you think the J.P. Morgan analyst who downgraded it is the ax in the name, consider his record first. This guy's no ax; he's more like a disposable razor! His calls look good only if you turn the chart upside down.
The dates and prices say it more eloquently than I can. On Dec. 13, 2003, before Intel began its historic run from the teens, Christopher Danley rated the stock an underweight, or a sell, in busted Wall Street gibberish.
He took the stock to a hold on Sept. 25, 2003, when it was at $27. On Nov. 7, 2003, with the stock at $33.80 after the preannouncements to the upside, Danley took the stock to an overweight. That's when he recommended it. I kid you not -- I can't make up this stuff.
Now, when the stock is at $29, he downgrades it.
This is value-subtracted, writ large. If this were major league baseball, this guy would be sent to the minors so fast his head would be spinning.
Instead, they probably will give him a raise.
There was a time when we couldn't piece together records like this and you would have had no idea how bad his calls have been. There also was a time when people wouldn't write so openly about a bad record. Call it diplomacy -- or ad-chasing.
These days, though, you get everything pretty unvarnished.
This guy should be riding an unvarnished bench somewhere. Sobering how bad professionals in our business can be, isn't it? "
(in www.realmoney.com)
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