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Down November, December???

Espaço dedicado a todo o tipo de troca de impressões sobre os mercados financeiros e ao que possa condicionar o desempenho dos mesmos.

por TraderBoy » 4/12/2007 20:31

Pois é Pata! Tens toda a razão! Lol Veremos se a excepção confirma a regra ou não! Hehehe
 
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por Pata-Hari » 4/12/2007 20:24

e quando novembro foi positivo? onde quero chegar é que dezembro tende a ser sempre um bom mês de mercado.
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Down November, December???

por TraderBoy » 4/12/2007 19:22

Down November; ??? December (More Info.)

in poor2rich

Between 1950 and 2006, there were only 2 Decembers that were down
when there was a preceeding down November, 1974 (-1.78%) and 1969 (-
1.87%). The average return for December when the preceeding November
was down was +2.75%. The S&P 500 return for 1969 was -11.4% and for
1974 it was -29.7%. More food for thought. Peace!

Charles

--- In Poor2Rich@yahoogroups.com, "cherotree1" <mass54thcob@...>
wrote:
>
>
> I have been able to locate a neat little web site which gives the
> monthly returns of the S&P 500 starting in 1950:
>
> http://www.moneychimp.com/features/monthly_returns.htm
> <http://www.moneychimp.com/features/monthly_returns.htm>
>
> Over the last 20 years, there have been 6 down Novembers. In each
of
> those instances, the following December was UP by an average of
3.77%.
> I need to do a little research to see why the December 1991
return was
> so large. These numbers would seem to bode well for December of
2007
> historically.
>
> Year______November %______December %
>
> 2000______-8.01%__________+.41%
>
> 1994______-3.93%___________+1.26%
>
> 1993______-1.29%___________+.98%
>
> 1991______-4.39%___________+11.19%
>
> 1988______-1.89%___________+1.48%
>
> 1987______-8.51%___________+7.28%
>
> Between 1950 and 2006, December had the greatest number of up
months
> (43) and November was 2nd with (39). Total months during this
period
> was 57. Peace!
>
> Charles
>
>
>
>
> --- In Poor2Rich@yahoogroups.com, "cherotree1" <mass54thcob@>
wrote:
> >
> > Normally, November is the strongest month of the year. This year
it
> > was down, I believe, about 4%. Out of curiousity, do any of
those who
> > maintain historical market data regarding seasonal tendencies
have any
> > data on how the market, particularly December, has performed when
> > November is down? Thanks in advance to all of those who are able
to
> > contribute their time to this inquiry. Peace!

> >
 
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