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Enviado: 6/6/2007 14:43mais outro lag no acesso ao fórum... tá complicado
10:01 AM ET, Jun 06, 2007 - 19 minutes ago
White House sees CPI up 3.2% this year
White House sees unemployment rate at 4.5% this year
White House sees 2007 GDP at 2.3% vs.2.9% earlier
ECONOMIC REPORT: White House bullish on job growth; Economy to slow to 2.3% this year, updated forecast says
By Rex Nutting, MarketWatch Last Update: 10:06 AM ET Jun 6, 2007
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- The U.S. economy should slow this year to 2.3% growth, but the job market should remain healthy, the White House said Wednesday in its semiannual economic forecast.
Inflation should spike higher to 3.2% on increased energy costs, but core inflation should stay at moderate levels, according to the combined forecast of the Council of Economic Advisers, the Treasury Department and the Office of Management and Budget.
"This forecast shows strengthening growth, a healthy job market, and contained inflation," said Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, in a statement. "I'm encouraged by the solid underlying fundamentals of the U.S. economy and I think this bodes well for American families and business."
The White House forecast matches private-sector forecasts for growth. The administration is a little more optimistic than the private sector about job growth, but more pessimistic about inflation.
The economy should grow 2.3% from the fourth quarter of 2006 to the fourth quarter of 2007. The consensus of 54 economist surveyed by Blue Chip Economic Indicators also forecasts 2.3% growth this year.
In November, the White House was forecasting 2.9% growth in 2007.
The administration is forecasting job growth of 131,000 per month this year, the same pace seen in the first five months of the year. The unemployment rate should remain at 4.5%, the White House said. The Blue Chip consensus calls for the unemployment rate to rise to 4.6%.
The consumer price index is expected to rise 3.2% in 2007, compared with a 2.4% gain expected by the Blue Chip consensus.
In the long run, the administration sees growth close to 3% for the next five years. The unemployment rate would average 4.8% for those five years, while inflation would slow gradually to about 2.3% by 2010.
The forecast is produced to guide the administration's midsession budget review, due in July.
e um pouco depois saiu...
10:12 AM ET, Jun 06, 2007 - 8 minutes ago
Existing home sales expected to fall 4.6% vs. 2.9% earlier
Realtors lower U.S. housing forecasts for 2007, 2008
By Rex Nutting Last Update: 10:17 AM ET Jun 6, 2007
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- Once gain, the National Association of Realtors has lowered its forecasts for key housing indicators for this year and next. Sales of existing homes are now expected to fall 4.6% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.18 million. A month ago, the real estate trade group was expecting sales to fall 2.9%. Sales of new homes are expected to fall 18.2% to 860,000 and housing starts are expected to fall 20.4% to 1.43 million. For 2008, sales of existing homes are expected to rise 3.7%, sales of new homes should rise 4.8% and starts should rise 3.6%. NAR senior economist Lawrence Yun said sales would "gradually trend upward with improving activity by the end of the year." The realtors update their forecast each month.
10:01 AM ET, Jun 06, 2007 - 19 minutes ago
White House sees CPI up 3.2% this year
White House sees unemployment rate at 4.5% this year
White House sees 2007 GDP at 2.3% vs.2.9% earlier
ECONOMIC REPORT: White House bullish on job growth; Economy to slow to 2.3% this year, updated forecast says
By Rex Nutting, MarketWatch Last Update: 10:06 AM ET Jun 6, 2007
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- The U.S. economy should slow this year to 2.3% growth, but the job market should remain healthy, the White House said Wednesday in its semiannual economic forecast.
Inflation should spike higher to 3.2% on increased energy costs, but core inflation should stay at moderate levels, according to the combined forecast of the Council of Economic Advisers, the Treasury Department and the Office of Management and Budget.
"This forecast shows strengthening growth, a healthy job market, and contained inflation," said Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, in a statement. "I'm encouraged by the solid underlying fundamentals of the U.S. economy and I think this bodes well for American families and business."
The White House forecast matches private-sector forecasts for growth. The administration is a little more optimistic than the private sector about job growth, but more pessimistic about inflation.
The economy should grow 2.3% from the fourth quarter of 2006 to the fourth quarter of 2007. The consensus of 54 economist surveyed by Blue Chip Economic Indicators also forecasts 2.3% growth this year.
In November, the White House was forecasting 2.9% growth in 2007.
The administration is forecasting job growth of 131,000 per month this year, the same pace seen in the first five months of the year. The unemployment rate should remain at 4.5%, the White House said. The Blue Chip consensus calls for the unemployment rate to rise to 4.6%.
The consumer price index is expected to rise 3.2% in 2007, compared with a 2.4% gain expected by the Blue Chip consensus.
In the long run, the administration sees growth close to 3% for the next five years. The unemployment rate would average 4.8% for those five years, while inflation would slow gradually to about 2.3% by 2010.
The forecast is produced to guide the administration's midsession budget review, due in July.
e um pouco depois saiu...
10:12 AM ET, Jun 06, 2007 - 8 minutes ago
Existing home sales expected to fall 4.6% vs. 2.9% earlier
Realtors lower U.S. housing forecasts for 2007, 2008
By Rex Nutting Last Update: 10:17 AM ET Jun 6, 2007
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- Once gain, the National Association of Realtors has lowered its forecasts for key housing indicators for this year and next. Sales of existing homes are now expected to fall 4.6% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.18 million. A month ago, the real estate trade group was expecting sales to fall 2.9%. Sales of new homes are expected to fall 18.2% to 860,000 and housing starts are expected to fall 20.4% to 1.43 million. For 2008, sales of existing homes are expected to rise 3.7%, sales of new homes should rise 4.8% and starts should rise 3.6%. NAR senior economist Lawrence Yun said sales would "gradually trend upward with improving activity by the end of the year." The realtors update their forecast each month.