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EMFX Snapshot: CEE currencies hold in familiar ranges, yesterday attempts to fall were rejected. EURPLN found good resistance around 3.9910 and fell toward 3.9700-50, where good support is located. Expect 3.9700-3.9900 range today. EURHUF tests 274.00-50 support and a break below sets a new downleg toward 272.00-50 and then possibly toward 270.00-50 base. Resistance is around 276.00 now
9:10
Trade Idea (long DAX, DAX.I @ 5787, 12-Sep) we'll move our stop to entry from 5760 after this move higher. Target still at 5850.
9:12
According to Kyodo News, the G-7 will call for 'vigilants' against inflation citing a draft of the G-7 statement. However, the draft had no mention of FX, as widely expected. There was no statement how the news agency obtained a advanced draft of the document, so reliability should be questioned.
9:45
FX-SCANDIES: EURNOK is settling in a bit lower after y’days test of 8.3330 lvl which now constitutes a resistance. The next targets are still 8.40 and the 8.4450 double top from February 2005. Support are found at 8.2700 lvl and 8.2380/00 for now.
10:16
FX: UK clearer seen offering GBPUSD abv 1.8740 for now.
10:17
Futures Desk:WTI OIL testing resistance @66.40 without success, if it is not broken up quickly on the US opening we could restest yesterday's low @65.20.
10:30
Trade Idea - (long DAX, DAX.I @ 5787, 12-Sep) this trade is stale by now, no follow-through higher and so we take modest profit at 5802. The broken trend line from mid-June continues to offer fierce resistance (currently at 5810).
13:41
Trade Idea - we sold S&P 500 (SP500.I) at 1301.75, stop 1305.50, target 1292.50 then 1260.
13:43
Futures Desk: WTI OIL (qmv6) in a one dollar range trading between $65- 66.40, if broken down the $64 area shoud stop the decline for now.
13:52
Amex are experiencing a floor-wide issue and have halted all trading for now.
14:06
Equities: Trading on US exchange AMEX has resumed.
14:15
Equities:The US Amex exchange is down again.
14:19
FX: EURUSD exploring the lower end of the range where bids seen at the 1.2670 lvl earlier. Blw here 1.2650/60 is strong support.
14:22
Equities:The US Amex exchange is up and working again.
14:37
Equities:The US Amex exchange is down again
15:41
FX-Hot Picks: Sometimes you need to be very patience. Taking a FX-position can sometimes be explained by the work of a florist. You plant a seed and you wait, wait and wait. And eventually, the seed transforms to a beautiful flower. We bought EURCZK more than 3 weeks ago at 28.104 and executed our take profit at 28.40 earlier today.
13-Set-2006 7:17
FX Snapshot: GBPCHF rallied almost 300 points from yesterday morning on weak CHF. 2.3490-2.3500 strong resistance held again, so it looks like 2.3400-2.3500 range for today. Buy dips toward 2.3420-30, stop below 2.3390. GBPJPY extended its rally just beyond 221.00, but unable to hold above and we expect 220.00-221.00 range for now. Buy dips with a stop below 219.80
7:21
Trade Idea - we're incurred a painfull stop-out in S&P 500 by being long yesterday after having been long DAX earlier on. This leaves us with three positions currently: long Carnival, CCL:xlon @ 2396, stop 2396, targets 2460/2800 (quote now 2435. Long Reckitt-Benckiser, RB:xlon @ 2132, stop 2080, target 2240 (quote now 2154). Long 3I, III:xlon @ 948.50, stop 930, target 980+.
7:24
FX-SPOT: Talk about CNY widening band today? - Keep USD/JPY under pressure
7:24
Futures Desk: Trade Idea - ECBOT Corn (ZCZ6) - this morning our stop at 237 was reached in Dec06 Corn as the market pulled back following the sell off in Crude Oil and the larger than expected crop production (released yesterday).
7:35
FX-Scandies: EURNOK continues to fly. We have now traded above 8.35. Any big retracement is not in sight as long as the oil price, at least from psychological point of view, is falling rapidly. We see EURNOK testing the levels of 8.40-43 later this week. EURSEK is trading lower on M&A rumors - MAN buying Scania and an English company buying Boliden. Support at 9.22-23 should hold for today though
7:38
Trade Idea: We placed 2 orders to sell EURUSD @ 1.2665 stop offer and again @ 1.2650 offer both with 25 pips stops. target 1.2560.
7:42
FX-SPOT: CZECH C.BANK VICE-GOV NIEDERMAYER SAYS 2007 BUDGET TO BE "WORST AND MOST DANGEROUS" BUDGET IN YEARS
7:43
FX-SPOT:XAU/USD: 579,00 should be very important point to watch, a break could lead to further drop
7:55
Trade Idea: We placed an order in GBPCAD @ 1.1012 stop bid target 2.1150 stop bid @ 2.0975. A break here would break the bear tren line from early August and technically remove the current bearish bias.
8:10
FX strategy: EURJPY still capped in the 149.15-80 range. We will look to buy a break of 149.80 for a test of the 150.75 old top from August 31 st.
8:30
UK Figures out: Claimant Count Rate (Aug) at 3.0% vs. 3.0% exp., Jobless Claims Change (Aug) at -3.9K vs. 4.0K exp., Avg. Earnings (Jul) inc/ex bonus at 4.4%/3.7% vs. 4.6%/3.9% exp., ILO Unemployment Rate (Jul) at 5.5% vs. 5.5% exp.
8:32
Futures Desk: Fixed Income – Bunds and treasuries rallied yesterday, due to the well received 10 year note reopening. Bunds (FGBLZ6) continued this morning, trading 117.26 with today’s support at 117.13 and resistance 117.45. Expect little upside in today’s session, as there is no data out to stop the on going momentum.
8:37
FX-SPOT:NZD: New York investment bank on the bid, bought about 100 million from 0.6426 to 0.6434.
8:53
Equities: Scania (SCVb:xome) up 12 pct. to a record 435 on speculation that the German competitor MAN (MANG:xetr) will offer to buy the company.
9:25
FX-EURNOK: We still see stop loss buying all over the place. There are no intentions on adding/getting short from this levels. There is only one word which can explain what is happening - bloodbath.
9:31
CNY: "2008 could be appropiate time for China to make yan fully convertible" - Parliament Official
9:33
EMFX Snapshot: EURPLN just broke below 3.9700 support, some extension can be now seen toward 3.9500-50 level, but activity is quiet overall. First resistance is around 3.9750 now. EURHUF broke below 274.00-50 yesterday and stays below that level, which should give a direction toward 272.00-50 later. A break above 274.50 negates that view.
9:48
Equity Update: MAN says it's interested in SCANIA purchase.
9:49
Trade Idea - Weekly Market Portfolio: We were stopped out of our long Nat. Gas (QGV6) position at 5.44, but are looking for new lows to pick it up.
10:33
FX-NOK: Rumors out saying the reason behind the panic buying in EURNOK today was linked to a NOKSEK order, worth 12 billion NOK. (app. 1.4 billion EUR)
10:36
FX-SPOT:EURCHF: Scandinavian names buying from 1.5878 to 1.5885 paid, New York bank joins.
10:46
FX-Hot Picks: According to rumors, a big NOKSEK order was behind the move in EURNOK, up to 8.38. The order is concidered to be done now. We will therefore try to jump on a possible slide from here. We will sell EURNOK at 8.3560, stop bid 8.3800. Preliminary target is 8.2960.