Caldeirão da Bolsa

13:30 Dados States

Espaço dedicado a todo o tipo de troca de impressões sobre os mercados financeiros e ao que possa condicionar o desempenho dos mesmos.

por scpnuno » 4/5/2007 16:31

Olha, e o que é que aconteceu agora?

Ganda tombo...a MSFT desmentiu, afinal é a Pad que quer comprar a Yahoo ou diacho?

Isto hoje não está para cardiacos, parece uma montanha russa (já fiquei meia zonza com aquela montanha russa do post dos preços da habitação)

Vou mas é de fim de semana, eles que se deitem ao chão ou subam ao céu..

Abraço
Esta é a vantagem da ambição:
Podes não chegar á Lua
Mas tiraste os pés do chão...
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cont

por Infoo » 4/5/2007 16:26

uns acrescentos aos reports... estes saidos no MarketWatch pelas 17h


ECONOMIC REPORT: Housing slump not reflected in payrolls yet
By Rex Nutting, MarketWatch Last Update: 12:21 PM ET May 4, 2007

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- The housing contraction has had little to do with the sharp slowdown in U.S. payroll growth so far this year, economists said, following the release of the April payroll numbers.
U.S. nonfarm payrolls rose by a seasonally adjusted 88,000 in April, held back by job losses in retail, manufacturing and construction, the Labor Department reported Friday.
Construction firms lost 11,000 jobs on the month after seasonal adjustments. In raw unadjusted figures, construction payrolls rose by 188,000 in April, the government said. Spring months typically bring hundreds of thousands of construction workers back onto payrolls after winter layoffs.
But the figures this year are "inconceivable," said Ray Stone, chief economist for Stone & McCarthy Research. He notes that the 188,000 includes some 49,000 jobs that were supposedly created by new construction firms entering business, theoretical jobs that were added to the actual jobs reported by construction firms in the government's monthly sample.
The government's birth-death model "has done a pretty good job overall" of accounting in real-time for the births and deaths of firms that are picked up in the official data only with a long lag, Stone said in a commentary to clients.
But the model likely failed in April, because it assumes that this April was like previous Aprils in terms of the business environment. Clearly, with housing starts down 23% in the past year, it's not a good time to start a residential contracting business.
Economists have been puzzled by the strength of construction payrolls. Typically, employment in residential construction tracks closely with housing completions. Completions are down 25% in the past year, but residential construction employment is down just 4% to 3.3 million.
"There's a lot more to go in this sector," wrote economists for Goldman Sachs. "The 11,000 decline pales in comparison to the hundreds of thousands of layoffs that would be needed to bring payrolls in this sector in line with reduced levels of output."




ECONOMIC REPORT: U.S. jobs growth sluggish in April: report; Economy adds 88,000 jobs, the fewest since November 2004
By Greg Robb, MarketWatch Last Update: 12:08 PM ET May 4, 2007

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- After defying gravity for several months, the U.S. labor market finally softened in April with a labor report confirming that the economy is at its weakest point in four years.
U.S. jobs growth slowed in April to 88,000 with12% fewer added jobs than economists had forecast, and the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.5%, the Labor Department said Friday.
In April, average hourly wages increased 2 cents, or 0.2%, to $17.25. Average wages rose 3.7% in the 12 months ended in April. The length of the average workweek fell to 33.8 hours from 33.9 hours.
Economists surveyed by MarketWatch were calling for payrolls to rise by 100,000, for the jobless rate to tick up to 4.5%, for average hourly earnings to rise 0.3% and for the workweek to hold steady at 33.9 hours.
Stocks held up after the data were released, likely on reports of takeover activity. Treasury prices rose, sending yields lower on the weak report. The dollar also declined. .
Excluding the government sector, 63,000 jobs were added in April. This almost matched the estimate of private job expansion in April released Wednesday by ADP. See full story.
March's net job growth was revised slightly to 177,000 from 180,000 previously. Revisions since the beginning of the year found 26,000 fewer jobs than previously estimated.

Sidelined at central bank
Economists do not believe the data will move the Federal Reserve's monetary-policy makers off the sidelines when they meet next Wednesday.
The Fed is expected to hold rates steady at 5.25%, where rates have been since last summer, given uncertainties about whether the economy will slow enough to gradually bring down inflation. Consumer prices have remained stubbornly above the central bank's perceived comfort zone despite average growth just above 2% over the past year.
Some economists believe the weak April jobs data were signs of weakness to come and the Fed should take action.
"The Fed needs to start thinking about easing -- soon, please," said Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics.
But others said the March weakness was old news and the economy was picking up in April.
"This report will probably be viewed by the Federal Reserve as more backward- than forward-looking. We continue to expect monetary policy to remain unchanged for the balance of the year, and next Wednesday's FOMC policy statement is unlikely to provide encouragement vis-a-vis a near-term policy move," said Josh Shapiro, chief U.S. economist for MFR Inc.
Action Economics said that the May report would be crucial to understanding the health of the economy.
"The May jobs figures will help to calibrate where we really stand following the volatile weather gyrations of the first four months of 2007, and degree of cooling in the jobs market," the team said in a research note.
But there is a clear weakening trend in the data.
Jobs growth averaged 118,000 over the past three months, down from an average of 194,000 in the previous three months.

Fine points
In April, the weakness in payrolls was concentrated in the goods-producing sector, which lost 28,000 jobs.
As expected, construction employment fell by 11,000.
Manufacturing employment continued to be weak, falling by 19,000.
But the weakness also spilled over to the retail trade sector, which shed 26,000 jobs in the month.
Service-sector employment continued to be the major job engine, with 116,000 jobs created in April.
Employment in professional and business services increased 24,000, payrolls in education and health care rose by 53,000, and jobs in leisure and hospitality increased by 22,000.
The figures are seasonally adjusted and based on a survey of some 400,000 business establishments.
The separate survey of households showed employment fell sharply by 468,000 jobs in April. This is the biggest drop since November 2002. Unemployment rose by 77,000 to 6.80 million. The civilian labor force declined by 392,000.
 
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re

por Infoo » 4/5/2007 15:28

lol... fica entregue o abraço

bem, arrefeceu o emprego nonfarm... anda numa de mais fracote dos últimos anos...mas neste ambiente de "money,money por todo o lado" a desculpa é que isso serve de travão pr fed nem pensar em subir tx, e que tb virá menos pressão pr inflação O pessoal encolhe-se)....
a ver vamos, mas que esta subida já mostra suor a rodos na cara do "biclas" ali a subir a Torre!!.. hummmm, mas ainda não aposto num fraquejar descarado
 
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por scpnuno » 4/5/2007 13:41

O abraçito do costume (vai com atraso, mas vai com juros de mora)

A coisa está a arrefecer, não?
Esta é a vantagem da ambição:
Podes não chegar á Lua
Mas tiraste os pés do chão...
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cont

por Infoo » 4/5/2007 13:20

14:25
index/fair value /value/%
s&p500/1506,50/1514,00/o.50%
nasdaq100/1905,87/1915,50/o.50%
 
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cont

por Infoo » 4/5/2007 12:32

futuros "a quente"

index/fair value /value/%
s&p500/1506,50/1514,60/o.54%
nasdaq100/1905,87/1917,50/o.60%
 
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cont

por Infoo » 4/5/2007 12:29

ECONOMIC REPORT: Job growth sluggish in April; 88,000 jobs created, lowest since Nov. '04
By Greg Robb, MarketWatch Last Update: 8:32 AM ET May 4, 2007

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - U.S. job growth slowed in April to 88,000 and the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.5%, the Labor Department said Friday.
In April, average hourly wages increased 2 cents or 0.2%, to $17.25. Average wages rose 3.7% in the 12 months ended in April.
The average workweek fell to 33.8 hours from 33.9 hours.
Economists surveyed by MarketWatch were calling for payrolls to rise by 100,000, for the jobless rate to tick up to 4.5%, for average hourly earnings to rise 0.3% and for the workweek to hold steady at 33.9 hours.
Excluding the government sector, jobs rose 63,000 in April. This was almost exactly the estimate of April private job growth released on Wednesday by ADP.
March's net job growth was revised slightly to 177,000 from 180,000 previously. Revisions since the beginning of the year found 26,000 fewer jobs than previously estimated.
Economists do not believe the data will move the Federal Reserve off the sidelines when they meet next Wednesday to set monetary policy for the next six weeks.
The Fed is expected to hold rates steady at 5.25%, where rates have been since last summer, given uncertainties about whether the economy will slow enough to gradually bring down inflation. Consumer prices have remained stubbornly above the central bank's perceived comfort zone despite average growth just above 2% over the past year.

Details
In April, the weakness in payrolls was concentrated in the goods-producing sector, which lost 28,000 jobs.
As expected, construction employment fell by 11,000. Manufacturing employment continued to be weak, falling by 19,000.
But the weakness also spilled over to the retail trade sector, which shed 26,000 jobs in the month.
Service sector employment continued to be the major job engine, with 116,000 jobs created in April.
Employment in professional and business services increased 24,000, payrolls in education and health-care rose by 53,000 and jobs in leisure and hospitality increased by 22,000.
The figures are seasonally adjusted and based on a survey of some 400,000 business establishments.
The separate survey of households showed employment fell sharply by 468,000 jobs in April. This is the biggest drop since November 2002. Unemployment rose by 77,000 to 6.80 million. The civilian labor force declined by 392,000.
 
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Registado: 17/11/2005 1:02

13:30 Dados States

por Infoo » 4/5/2007 12:28

8:30 AM ET, May 04, 2007 - 1 minute ago
U.S. April average hourly earnings up 0.2%, up 3.7yr-on-yr
U.S. April average workweek 33.8 hours vs 33.9 March
U.S. April household job decline largest since Nov '02
U.S. April factory jobs down 19,000; services up 116,000
U.S. April construction jobs down 11,000
U.S. April nonfarm payroll smallest rise since Nov. '04
U.S. April nonfarm payrolls up 88,000 vs 100,000 expected
U.S. April unemployment rate 4.5% vs 4.4% in March
 
Mensagens: 1620
Registado: 17/11/2005 1:02


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