CALDEIRÃO DE BOLSA

Cansado do mercado português,em grande parte devido ao novo horário,pus-me a estudar os States e aqui estão algumas conclusoes:
Jeff Cooper-o trading report é bastante bom
David Nichols-o relatorio diario é o melhor que tenho visto(21stcenturyalert.com)
Signalwatch.com-indispensavel para quem faz futuros do Dow.
Tb gostei do Realmoney pela variedade de analistas:
Cramer surpreendeu-me pela positiva
Dick Arms outra surpresa
Gary Smith-tem bons artigos,mas em relação ao mercado em geral penso que anda perdido
Alan Farley,"Rev Shark",entre outros
Vi muitos mais sites mas estes foram os que me convenceram mais;! não percam,vale a pena-firetraders.com!
Se conhecerem mais algum que acham que vale a pena,digam!Estou em fase de aprendizagem!!
Saudações bolsistas

Noutro dia, aqui no fórum, um dos membros do caldeirão queria saber referências do Jeff Cooper. Ao lê-lo hoje, pensei que talvez valesse a pena transcrevê-lo. Aqui fica:


"An American Classic"

By Jeff Cooper
Special to TheStreet.com
04/14/2003 02:00 PM EDT


"Today's commentary is short and sweet, because the market has given us little new information. If you are a bull, Friday morning you were cheering the 10-point gain in the S&P futures preopen. A little while later, you were going, ah, darn. If you were a bear, going into the afternoon, you were going, ah, darn.


Despite the fade of the S&P futures from its 200-day moving average, yet again, what are the bears really getting for all of their efforts? It seems to me if the market were truly weak, it would just collapse.

The scene of three reversals by the S&P 500 from its 200-day moving average and the blank faces of both bulls and bears is an American classic. It reminds me of the painting of the farmer and his wife with the pitchfork. How many pitchforks will it take for the bears to bale if they don't make any hay for their efforts? Will the bulls score with a genuine haymaker when the moving average strides past the pitchforks? Methinks this is the higher probability play.

The market seems to be reverting to its old behavior of the money being made on the overnight bet. For example, Friday's 10-point gain from Thursday's close happened in the air, overnight. If you weren't there, then there was no gain to capture. The market seems to be back to its old tricks of follow-through peek-a-boo. Now you see it, now you don't. Now you have it, now you don't.

The same way the bulls were protecting the baby at 800 on the S&P, the bears are playing protect the baby at the 200-day moving average of the S&P.

But, let's not forget one thing: The Nasdaq baby already got away from the bears, while the S&P appears to be working out a complex pennant or a mini Cup and Handle.

Be careful. Many of the indicators that have been used by many for a long time are not working. Because the markets are changing. As you know, over 40% of volume is attributable to program trading. Along with decimalization, this affects the TRIN, the short-interest ratio, and the A/D Line. Will the real TRIN, the real A/D Line, and the real short-interest ratio please stand up?

But don't think that stops Big Bets from being made on these indicators. Many technicians would rather fight than switch. "

(in www.realmoney.com)