A loucura da TZOO
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Ulisses Pereira Escreveu:Ertai, mas o teu raciocínio é para artigos positivos, não é? É que este artigo é bem crítico da irracionalidade que se vive na TZOO..
Um abraço,
Ulisses
Sim Ulisses, mas acaba provavelmente por fazer o mesmo efeito na acção...
Não diria é para já... com o rallie das eleições, provavelmente ainda sobe mais um pouco.. mas será de esperar um movimento muito parecido à Taser..
Fenomenal mesmo, para quem entra barato e para quem fica preso nos preços inflacionados pela especulação..
Comps
Especulação Pura!
Esta parece uma "toy stock".
Aqueles papeis que os alguns brokers escolhem para especular e fazer uma habilidades, quando o mercado está "boring".
Este movimento especulativo, e nítidamente contra a tendencia geral dos mercados, é realmente absurdo, aumentou 9 vezes o valor de mercado em apenas 5 meses. Tem sessões com variações de + de 20%.
Alto risco, alto risco!
Aqueles papeis que os alguns brokers escolhem para especular e fazer uma habilidades, quando o mercado está "boring".
Este movimento especulativo, e nítidamente contra a tendencia geral dos mercados, é realmente absurdo, aumentou 9 vezes o valor de mercado em apenas 5 meses. Tem sessões com variações de + de 20%.
Alto risco, alto risco!
Trade the trend.
E é quando saem notícias destas que geralmente o rallie acaba..
Ora bem, provavelmente bate nos 100 e volta para baixo...
Tal como a TASR, provavelmente vem abaixo de uma maneira igualmente espectacular... estas pérolas são boas para quando ainda ninguem as viu.. e não quando saem artigos sobre elas
Ora bem, provavelmente bate nos 100 e volta para baixo...
Tal como a TASR, provavelmente vem abaixo de uma maneira igualmente espectacular... estas pérolas são boas para quando ainda ninguem as viu.. e não quando saem artigos sobre elas

A loucura da TZOO
Já ando há umas semanas para aqui deixar um gráfico da Travelzoo (TZOO) para verem a loucura que tem rodeado esta acção. Mas, hoje, ao ler mais um artigo sobre a acção, resolvi transcrever o artigo e colocar um gráfico para aqueles que estão menos atentos ao mercado americano poderem perceberem a euforia vivida em torno deste papel.
Até Abril, era uma acção esquecida, sem volume nem volatilidade. A partir daí, basta olhar para o gráfico e ver a volatilidade e os volumes fortíssimos, sobretudo se compararmos com o free float da acção.
Transcrevo-vos o artigo em questão, salientando que a fonte não é das mais credíveis.
Um abraço,
Ulisses
"Who Gets Travelzoo?
By W.D. Crotty
November 1, 2004
Write a less than positive take on a high-flying micro-cap stock, and the e-mail flames invariably contain this phrase: "You probably don't get Travelzoo (Nasdaq: TZOO) either."
With no company press release today, the stock is up more than 20% -- blowing away its previous all-time high by more than 10% in the process.
Travelzoo is the Internet's largest publisher of outstanding travel offers available from hundreds of travel companies. Revenue jumped 99%, and earnings skyrocketed 240% in the latest quarter. It is hard to ignore the company's outstanding 37.4% profit margin when other light-business model heavyweights such as Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) have only 32% margins.
What makes this company unique is its size. The combination of just 16.2 million shares, of which only 1.9 million are publicly available, and rapid profit growth has produced a stock price explosion like Taser (Nasdaq: TASR) shareholders enjoyed last year.
For those looking for value, this is not the place. The stock trades at 212 times current year earnings estimates and 109 times 2005 estimates.
Think the valuation is insane? In June, Seth Jayson called the valuation crazy with this: "Today, it's valued around $365 million. That's right, 52 clams per subscriber, or about $1.2 million per paying advertiser." Since then the company's market capitalization has more than tripled.
Travelzoo is picking low-hanging fruit from the likes of Orbitz (Nasdaq: ORBZ) -- soon to be wholly owned by Cendant (NYSE: CD) -- and InterActiveCorp's (Nasdaq: IACI) Expedia. They and anyone else wanting to attract travel business dollars advertise with Travelzoo.
What's the catalyst behind today's gigantic move? With most of the public shares sold short, the rising stock price is probably squeezing bears and forcing them to buy back shares at ever-increasing prices. Bears were counting on competition, including Yahoo!'s (Nasdaq: YHOO) upcoming product, to shrink margins and bring this Lilliputian back to earth. Bears without fallback capital have been slaughtered, and their hides are on view over by the shed!
Those with almost eightfold increase in the stock price will say, "You don't get it." They are correct! Didn't get the dot-com stocks either and avoided a fall of biblical proportions. Where is the long-term competitive advantage that enables long-term business viability? Today's success is great -- but it isn't worth 200 times earnings. The best advice is to watch out!"
(in www.fool.com)
Até Abril, era uma acção esquecida, sem volume nem volatilidade. A partir daí, basta olhar para o gráfico e ver a volatilidade e os volumes fortíssimos, sobretudo se compararmos com o free float da acção.
Transcrevo-vos o artigo em questão, salientando que a fonte não é das mais credíveis.
Um abraço,
Ulisses
"Who Gets Travelzoo?
By W.D. Crotty
November 1, 2004
Write a less than positive take on a high-flying micro-cap stock, and the e-mail flames invariably contain this phrase: "You probably don't get Travelzoo (Nasdaq: TZOO) either."
With no company press release today, the stock is up more than 20% -- blowing away its previous all-time high by more than 10% in the process.
Travelzoo is the Internet's largest publisher of outstanding travel offers available from hundreds of travel companies. Revenue jumped 99%, and earnings skyrocketed 240% in the latest quarter. It is hard to ignore the company's outstanding 37.4% profit margin when other light-business model heavyweights such as Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) have only 32% margins.
What makes this company unique is its size. The combination of just 16.2 million shares, of which only 1.9 million are publicly available, and rapid profit growth has produced a stock price explosion like Taser (Nasdaq: TASR) shareholders enjoyed last year.
For those looking for value, this is not the place. The stock trades at 212 times current year earnings estimates and 109 times 2005 estimates.
Think the valuation is insane? In June, Seth Jayson called the valuation crazy with this: "Today, it's valued around $365 million. That's right, 52 clams per subscriber, or about $1.2 million per paying advertiser." Since then the company's market capitalization has more than tripled.
Travelzoo is picking low-hanging fruit from the likes of Orbitz (Nasdaq: ORBZ) -- soon to be wholly owned by Cendant (NYSE: CD) -- and InterActiveCorp's (Nasdaq: IACI) Expedia. They and anyone else wanting to attract travel business dollars advertise with Travelzoo.
What's the catalyst behind today's gigantic move? With most of the public shares sold short, the rising stock price is probably squeezing bears and forcing them to buy back shares at ever-increasing prices. Bears were counting on competition, including Yahoo!'s (Nasdaq: YHOO) upcoming product, to shrink margins and bring this Lilliputian back to earth. Bears without fallback capital have been slaughtered, and their hides are on view over by the shed!
Those with almost eightfold increase in the stock price will say, "You don't get it." They are correct! Didn't get the dot-com stocks either and avoided a fall of biblical proportions. Where is the long-term competitive advantage that enables long-term business viability? Today's success is great -- but it isn't worth 200 times earnings. The best advice is to watch out!"
(in www.fool.com)
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