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8:30am 09/09/04 U.S. WEEKLY INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS FALL 44K TO 319K
8:30am 09/09/04 U.S. 4-WK AVG INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS DOWN 3,750 TO 339K
8:30am 09/09/04 DROP IN INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS BIGGEST SINCE DEC. 2001
8:30am 09/09/04 DROP IN CLAIMS DUE PARTLY TO STORMS, SEASONAL FACTORS
8:30am 09/09/04 U.S. IMPORT PRICES UP 7.2% YEAR-OVER-YEAR
8:30am 09/09/04 U.S. AUG. IMPORT PRICES UP.1.7% VS. 0.7% EXPECTED
8:30am 09/09/04 U.S. AUG EX-OIL IMPORT PRICES UP 0.4%
8:30am 09/09/04 U.S. AUG. EXPORT PRICES DOWN 0.5%

ECONOMIC REPORT: U.S. jobless claims sink 44,000; Storms, late holiday contributed to largest drop in 3 years
By Rex Nutting, CBS.MarketWatch.com
Last Update: 8:30 AM ET Sept. 9, 2004

WASHINGTON (CBS.MW) - The number of workers filing for state unemployment benefits plunged by 44,000 in the week ending Sept. 4 to 319,000, the Labor Department said Thursday.

It was the biggest decline in initial claims since December 2001. It's the lowest number of new claims since the week of July 3.

The drop was attributed in part to the impact of storms that have battered Florida in the past month and to problems adjusting the data for seasonal factors, a Labor Department spokesman said.

He could not quantify the impact of either source of distortion.

The four-week average of initial claims, which smoothes out distortions caused by weather and holidays, fell by 3,750 to 339,250.

The number of former workers continuing to receive state benefits rose by 20,000 to 2.9 million in the week ending Aug. 28.

The insured unemployment rate remained at 2.3 percent.

The storms had two possible impact on initial claims filed in Florida. Claims had spiked higher in the previous week as a result of Hurricane Charley, which hit Florida on the weekend of Aug. 14. Disaster-related claims typically peak in the second week after the event, with a decline back toward the baseline in the third week.

In addition, Florida was hit by a second major storm last week, which likely prevented many Floridians from filing jobless claims.

The seasonal factors likely had to do with the late Labor Day holiday, which is the traditional end of many summer jobs and marks the return of most students and teachers to the classroom.

Economists have said initial claims in the neighborhood of 340,000 are consistent with monthly job gains of about 150,000 to 250,000. The economy needs to add about 150,000 jobs a month to absorb new entrants into the labor force.

Jobless claims have been relatively steady for months.

The four-week average of initial claims has plateaued at a range between 335,00 and 345,000 for the past six months after plunging by about 60,000 in the last three months of 2003.

Continuing claims have been near 2.9 million for the past three months after dropping by 600,000 between September and March, when job growth accelerated.

But job growth has stalled in recent months. Nonfarm payroll gains have averaged 104,000 over the past three months, compared with 295,000 a month from March through May.

Long-term unemployment has been particularly insidious during this business cycle. In August, 1.7 million, or 20.7 percent, of the 8 million workers classified as unemployed had been out of work longer than six months. The average duration of unemployment remained high at 19 weeks.


ECONOMIC REPORT: U.S. import prices surge on oil; Petroleum, industrial supply prices jump in August
By Rex Nutting, CBS.MarketWatch.com
Last Update: 8:33 AM ET Sept. 9, 2004

WASHINGTON (CBS.MW) - Prices paid for imports into the United States jumped 1.7 percent in August as imported petroleum surged 9.6 percent, the Labor Department reported Thursday.

It was the biggest increase in 20 months.

Import prices are up 7.2 percent year-over-year, the biggest increase since early 2003.

Excluding petroleum, prices rose 0.4 percent in August and 3.2 percent in the past year. It's the fastest increase in non-petroleum import prices in nine years.

The story of the rise in import prices has had two main characters: oil and the weaker dollar.

Imported petroleum prices are up 40.4 percent in the past 12 months. The price of crude oil peaked at just under $50 a barrel in late August, although many importers had locked in lower prices earlier.

Meanwhile, a weaker dollar has done what policymakers intended: Import a little inflation in to the United States and make U.S.-made goods relatively cheaper.

Export prices have risen 3.9 percent in the past 12 months, despite a 0.5 percent decline in August.

Agricultural export prices fell 8.5 percent in August, the third decline in a row. Still, agricultural export prices are up 6.1 percent in the past 12 months.

Prices of imported industrial materials rose 5.5 percent, with non-petroleum supplies rising 2 percent. Prices of imported industrial materials excluding petroleum are up 16.3 percent in the past year.

Prices of many raw materials jumped in August. Metal ore and scrap prices rose 10.9 percent, wood prices rose 12.8 percent and natural gas prices increased 3.3 percent. Chemical prices climbed 0.6 percent.

Prices of imported capital goods, consumer goods and autos were flat.

Prices of Canadian imports rose 2.2 percent, including 5 percent for nonmanufactured goods. Canadian import prices are up 10.8 percent in the past year.

Prices from the European Union rose 0.8 percent, while prices from Japan gained 0.1 percent.

Prices from Latin America increased 2.5 percent.