CALDEIRÃO DE BOLSA

Atenção que ainda vamos bem cedo no mercado.

Enquanto os indices não fecharem hoje, não iremos saber até onde eles podem descer.

E muito habitual ver algumas subidas no final de sessões negativas como esta..

Entretanto, o DOW furou a MM 200 dias e o SPX está a agora a encontrar suporte nessa linha.

Note-se que o SPX não pode quebrá-la sob pena de pôr em causa todo o movimento bull desde Março de 2003 !!

Abraço

dj

e à pouco, por trás da miss cnbc q comentava o intra do nasdaq, o ratio of losers to winners do nasdaq-comp ia em 7 to 1?

ena, ena... desde 5ª que a coisa passou a ser mini-crash.

Cump.

«...Meanwhile, it is dawning on people that the Fed's go-slow response is, if anything, completely and utterly "measured," and it's still being too patient. Can the Fed really not move until June? If we get high inflation numbers this week, won't the market just get hit further?...»

Dá vontade de perguntar ao Cramer...What are you afraid off, Mr. Cramer?!

«...At some point, the sidelined money has to kick in, and at some point, the oversold market must bounce. At some point, we should get the "whoosh" where we open down big and rally...»

At some point, it will be a mistake to sell.


Espero que o Cramer não cometa os mesmos erros que por exemplo o Damon Vickers cometeu quando ficou «agarrado» ás suas convicções mesmo quando o mercado lhe puxava o "tapete" consumindo-lhe o ego.

... ainda não estamos no "ponto de rebuçado" para entrar a matar nas compras mas... há aqui um 1º sinal de que isto está a esticar (no curto prazo):

transcrevo do cnn/money... de um artigo de hoje de manhã:

"On Friday, we had a ratio of 12 to 1 of losers to winners. That's the worst performance since 1997. We also had over 3,000 declining issues. This shows real weakness," said Larry Wachtel, market analyst with Wachovia Securities, told CNN/Money.


cump.

"Solace Seems Elusive in the Global Marketplace"

By James J. Cramer
RealMoney Columnist
5/10/2004 7:43 AM EDT


"Looking for solace, globally, and can't find any at all. Lots of people had taken to hiding in Japan, but that market gave up a year's worth of gains overnight, all on some negative telecom story that seemed obvious and yet still freaked everybody out.

Meanwhile, it is dawning on people that the Fed's go-slow response is, if anything, completely and utterly "measured," and it's still being too patient. Can the Fed really not move until June? If we get high inflation numbers this week, won't the market just get hit further?


In the meantime, we search for something that seems discounted -- the war, higher oil prices, the higher dollar, higher rates, slower China -- and keep coming back to an equity market that seems to have discounted nothing, or that has discounted everything anew each time it hits the tape.

At some point, the sidelined money has to kick in, and at some point, the oversold market must bounce. At some point, we should get the "whoosh" where we open down big and rally.

At some point, it will be a mistake to sell.

Let's just say -- politely -- that we still haven't reached that point. "

(in www.realmoney.com)