Voz ativa de Centeno trouxe influência (e críticas) ao BdP

[enginheiro]

Camisa:

Eu sei que não são teus, mas que os colocas. O que agradeço.


Turtle
Eu sei que são gratuitos, mas não os posso instalar no meu emprego, pois aqui todo o software instalado é regularmente controlado e nem os freeware são livres de serem instalados.

De qualquer forma obrigado pela disponibilidade

[Flying Turtle]

infelizmente, desde que lançou a versão zip, deixei de poder ler os comentários que por aqui vai colocando.

Nõa tenho aqui programa de descompressão, nem posso instalar....

Um abraço

Caro enginheiro

São poucos os tipos de ficheiros que podem ser anexados às mensagens aqui no Caldeirão. Para textos, apenas existem as possibilidades pdf e zip (esta afinal dá para virtualmente todos os tipos de ficheiros...)

Por outro lado existem, por razões óbvias, limites de espaço para os ficheiros a anexar.

Assim, e para textos, é sempre preciso ter um programa de leitura/descompressão. São, como creio que sabes, ambos gratuitos. Se a tua impossibilidade se refere a não saberes onde encontrar os programas ou como os utilizar avisa, podemos ajudar. Se a limitação é de outra ordem, aí naturalmente pouco poderemos fazer...

Um abraço
FT

[Camisa Roxa]

PS: Os comentários não são meus, são de uma newsletter americana (paga)

Cumprimentos


MARKET OUTLOOK:

MARKET TIMING:
STOCKS: NEUTRAL (as of 08/30/02 close)
BONDS: BEARISH (as of 01/03/01 close)
GOLD: BULLISH (as of 12/20/99 close)

The Nasdaq Composite put in a minor bounce off the key 50dayEMA (1370.34 ? green) yet could muster no more strength to surmount the key 10dayEMA (red).

In the end the OTC printed an inside-day with no trade above the prior high, or below the prior low. This neutrality is a microcosm of where the market is technically with the recent turn down in the average directional movement indicator (gray) on the daily chart. This signifies a lack of trend and thus a choppy and neutral market environment.

Therefore, from a price technical perspective we?re still slightly bearish until the 1400-level is reclaimed. This bearishness is tempered and mostly neutral given the very strong support of the key 50dayEMA. Once the market plots a move below this key trending indicator, we?ll move our bearish bias to full and red in the table from an unconfirmed gray.

Today the Federal Reserve held steady, as was mostly expected, on the fed funds rate target and maintained a bias of neutrality. Meanwhile, Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette founder William Donaldson was named successor to the top job at the SEC. The market appeared to like both these factors with a high of the session close, although the futures tapered off after hours.

Daily Chart of OTC showing inside-day print still waiting for a force to act upon it



Economic Overview



VIX

The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) printed a follow through move lower Tuesday to close back below the 200dayEMA (blue). The index is now below all key trend following support/resistance and is issuing bullish indications for the equity market, although it still remains above the key bull/bear fulcrum. Nevertheless, we?re back with the
bullishness from Friday given the follow through, only this is unofficial given the lack of confirmation. Below 33.50-34.50 the trend remains lower and therefore bullish for equities.

Daily Chart of the Volatility Index (VIX)



Put/Call Ratio

The CBOE equity put/call ratio (EPCR) was 71% Tuesday following the 58% Monday reading following the 76% Friday reading. The indicator has been a bit choppy recently with whipsaws back and forth incongruent with the market action. As a result, with the ratio in the neutral zone, we?re holding a neutral bias toward the market until we see an appropriate spike, or decline. Having said that, we did see a spike above the key upper band during the first block of trade, which led to a high of the session close as the bears were sold out. Meanwhile, the lower band is at 0.40, while the upper band is at 0.84.

Daily Chart of the CBOE Equity Put/Call Ratio



Bottom Line:

The VIX is issuing bullish indications with a follow through move lower under pressure of key EMA?s, while the Rydex and EPCR are moderately bullish with the Rydex near the key lower band and the EPCR above the key upper band intraday. However, these are unofficial indications and with the OTC just below the 10day and above the 50day, not to mention a descending ADX, the backdrop is currently neutral, yet on the verge of printing a potentially explosive move. For that we wait.

Indication Summation

[enginheiro]

infelizmente, desde que lançou a versão zip, deixei de poder ler os comentários que por aqui vai colocando.

Nõa tenho aqui programa de descompressão, nem posso instalar....

Um abraço

[Camisa Roxa]

Bons dias!