Para quando dados Michigan ???
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bem.. de volta... e parece que nos staes.. tal como ontem.. andam numa de "isto já está tudo incorporado" e numa de "isto é bom demais..."
outro dois factores para "o contra":
1- o "pitrol" nos ststes anda com as reserva a cair mais que o esperado:
U.S. crude stocks drop; prices back above $30 (10:37am
SAN FRANCISCO (CBS.MW) -- The Energy Department reported a surprise 4.9 million-barrel drop in crude stocks for the week ended Nov. 21.
The news took January crude up by 30 cents to $30.07 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Most analysts expected a climb of as much as 3 million.
Distillate supplies also fell by 600,000 barrels in the latest week.
Motor gasoline inventories, however, climbed by 1.5 million barrels, according to the government data.
January unleaded gasoline is up 0.13 cent at 91.7 cents a gallon, and January heating oil is up 0.68 cent at 90.6 cents a gallon.
2- as mortgage rates .. devagar devagarinho... lá vão subindo...
U.S. mortgage rates inch higher in latest week (10:54am
CHICAGO (CBS.MW) -- Mortgage rates edged higher in the week ending Nov. 28, as strong economic data boosted interest rates overall.
Freddie Mac (FRE) said Wednesday that the benchmark 30-year mortgage rose to a national average 5.89 percent from 5.83 percent a week earlier.
The 15-year mortgage, a popular refinancing choice, also was up, to 5.22 percent from 5.17 percent.
One-year Treasury-indexed adjustable-rate mortgages averaged 3.77 percent, up from last week's 3.72 percent.
All three loans remained more than a quarter percentage point below year-ago levels.
finalmente...aqui vai um update (atrasado) dos dados:
10:00am 11/26/03 U.S. OCT NEW HOME SALES DOWN 3.5% TO 1.105 MLN UNITS
10:00am 11/26/03 CHICAGO PMI FACTORY INDEX 64.1 VS. 55 IN OCT.
10:00am 11/26/03 U.S. OCT NEW HOME SALES STILL 5TH HIGHEST ON RECORD
9:47am 11/26/03 U.S. NOV. UMICH CURRENT CONDITIONS 102.5 VS. 99.0 OCT
9:47am 11/26/03 U.S. NOV. FINAL UMICH EXPECTATIONS 88.1 VS. 83.0 OCT.
9:46am 11/26/03 U.S. NOV. UMICH CONSUMER SENTIMENT 93.7 VS 89.6 OCT.
Chicago factory-sector index jumps to 64.1 in November
CHICAGO (CBS.MW) -- A measure of factory activity in the Chicago region jumped in November. The Chicago Purchasing Managers Index stood at 64.1 vs. 55.0 a month ago and topped expectations for 56.3. It was the highest reading since October 1994. The new orders component was 73.3 vs. 59.2 in October. Readings over 50 denote expansion. The employment index, however, showed contraction this month, at 48.5 vs. 53.1. Prices paid rose to 67.3 vs. 61.5.
ECONOMIC REPORT: U.S. new homes sales slow in October; Still, sales in the month are fifth highest on record
By Corbett B. Daly, CBS Marketwatch
Last Update: 10:15 AM ET Nov. 26, 2003
WASHINGTON (CBS.MW) -- Sales of new homes fell 3.5 percent in October to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.105 million units, the Commerce Department said Wednesday.
Sales were slightly lower than expectations. Economists polled by CBS MarketWatch predicted 1.13 million news homes sold in October.
Still, sales in October were the fifth highest on record. So far this year, 931,000 new homes have been sold, 12.2 percent more than at the same time last year.
At the end of the month, builders had 360,000 homes for sale, a 4 month supply. The median price of a new home rose 0.9 percent year-over-year to $190,900.
The news came on the heels of a slowdown in sales of existing homes. Tuesday, the National Association of Realtors reported that existing home sales fell 5.9 percent in October to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.35 million units.
New home sales fell in all four regions of the country. In October, new home sales fell 1 percent to 516,000 units in the South, the country's largest region. Sales in the West sank 9.4 percent to 299,000 units. Sales in the Midwest fell 0.5 percent to 203,000 units, while sales in the Northeast fell 3.3 percent to 87,000 units.
The sales data are based on statistical samples and are subject to large sampling and other statistical errors. The government cautions that small month-to-month changes are not significant, especially at the regional level of detail.
ECONOMIC REPORT: Consumer sentiment at 18-month high
By Rex Nutting, CBS.MarketWatch.com
Last Update: 10:08 AM ET Nov. 26, 2003
WASHINGTON (CBS.MW) -- U.S. consumer sentiment inched up to an 18-month high in November, according to a survey conducted by the University of Michigan.
The UMich consumer sentiment index improved to 93.7 in November from 89.6 in October and 93.5 in the preliminary November reading, sources said.
It's the highest level since May 2002.
Economists were expecting an increase to about 93.9.
The current conditions index rose to 102.5 in late November from 99.0 in October but down from 102.8 in early November.
The expectations index rose to 88.1 in late November from 83.0 in October and 87.6 in early November.
In other reports released Wednesday, the Commerce Department said durable goods orders surged for the second month in a row in October, rising 3.3 percent.
The Chicago purchasing managers index jumped to 64.1 in November from 55.0 percent in October, far exceeding the 56.3 percent expected.
Also the Commerce Department said consumer spending was flat in October while incomes rose 0.4 percent on large gains in proprietors' incomes.
Meanwhile, new home sales slipped in October to a 1.105-million- annual pace, the fifth highest on record.
The Labor Department said the four-week average of first-time claims for unemployment benefits fell to a nearly three-year low of 358,750 in the latest week. Continuing claims also fell sharply.
outro dois factores para "o contra":
1- o "pitrol" nos ststes anda com as reserva a cair mais que o esperado:
U.S. crude stocks drop; prices back above $30 (10:37am
SAN FRANCISCO (CBS.MW) -- The Energy Department reported a surprise 4.9 million-barrel drop in crude stocks for the week ended Nov. 21.
The news took January crude up by 30 cents to $30.07 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Most analysts expected a climb of as much as 3 million.
Distillate supplies also fell by 600,000 barrels in the latest week.
Motor gasoline inventories, however, climbed by 1.5 million barrels, according to the government data.
January unleaded gasoline is up 0.13 cent at 91.7 cents a gallon, and January heating oil is up 0.68 cent at 90.6 cents a gallon.
2- as mortgage rates .. devagar devagarinho... lá vão subindo...
U.S. mortgage rates inch higher in latest week (10:54am
CHICAGO (CBS.MW) -- Mortgage rates edged higher in the week ending Nov. 28, as strong economic data boosted interest rates overall.
Freddie Mac (FRE) said Wednesday that the benchmark 30-year mortgage rose to a national average 5.89 percent from 5.83 percent a week earlier.
The 15-year mortgage, a popular refinancing choice, also was up, to 5.22 percent from 5.17 percent.
One-year Treasury-indexed adjustable-rate mortgages averaged 3.77 percent, up from last week's 3.72 percent.
All three loans remained more than a quarter percentage point below year-ago levels.
finalmente...aqui vai um update (atrasado) dos dados:
10:00am 11/26/03 U.S. OCT NEW HOME SALES DOWN 3.5% TO 1.105 MLN UNITS
10:00am 11/26/03 CHICAGO PMI FACTORY INDEX 64.1 VS. 55 IN OCT.
10:00am 11/26/03 U.S. OCT NEW HOME SALES STILL 5TH HIGHEST ON RECORD
9:47am 11/26/03 U.S. NOV. UMICH CURRENT CONDITIONS 102.5 VS. 99.0 OCT
9:47am 11/26/03 U.S. NOV. FINAL UMICH EXPECTATIONS 88.1 VS. 83.0 OCT.
9:46am 11/26/03 U.S. NOV. UMICH CONSUMER SENTIMENT 93.7 VS 89.6 OCT.
Chicago factory-sector index jumps to 64.1 in November
CHICAGO (CBS.MW) -- A measure of factory activity in the Chicago region jumped in November. The Chicago Purchasing Managers Index stood at 64.1 vs. 55.0 a month ago and topped expectations for 56.3. It was the highest reading since October 1994. The new orders component was 73.3 vs. 59.2 in October. Readings over 50 denote expansion. The employment index, however, showed contraction this month, at 48.5 vs. 53.1. Prices paid rose to 67.3 vs. 61.5.
ECONOMIC REPORT: U.S. new homes sales slow in October; Still, sales in the month are fifth highest on record
By Corbett B. Daly, CBS Marketwatch
Last Update: 10:15 AM ET Nov. 26, 2003
WASHINGTON (CBS.MW) -- Sales of new homes fell 3.5 percent in October to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.105 million units, the Commerce Department said Wednesday.
Sales were slightly lower than expectations. Economists polled by CBS MarketWatch predicted 1.13 million news homes sold in October.
Still, sales in October were the fifth highest on record. So far this year, 931,000 new homes have been sold, 12.2 percent more than at the same time last year.
At the end of the month, builders had 360,000 homes for sale, a 4 month supply. The median price of a new home rose 0.9 percent year-over-year to $190,900.
The news came on the heels of a slowdown in sales of existing homes. Tuesday, the National Association of Realtors reported that existing home sales fell 5.9 percent in October to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.35 million units.
New home sales fell in all four regions of the country. In October, new home sales fell 1 percent to 516,000 units in the South, the country's largest region. Sales in the West sank 9.4 percent to 299,000 units. Sales in the Midwest fell 0.5 percent to 203,000 units, while sales in the Northeast fell 3.3 percent to 87,000 units.
The sales data are based on statistical samples and are subject to large sampling and other statistical errors. The government cautions that small month-to-month changes are not significant, especially at the regional level of detail.
ECONOMIC REPORT: Consumer sentiment at 18-month high
By Rex Nutting, CBS.MarketWatch.com
Last Update: 10:08 AM ET Nov. 26, 2003
WASHINGTON (CBS.MW) -- U.S. consumer sentiment inched up to an 18-month high in November, according to a survey conducted by the University of Michigan.
The UMich consumer sentiment index improved to 93.7 in November from 89.6 in October and 93.5 in the preliminary November reading, sources said.
It's the highest level since May 2002.
Economists were expecting an increase to about 93.9.
The current conditions index rose to 102.5 in late November from 99.0 in October but down from 102.8 in early November.
The expectations index rose to 88.1 in late November from 83.0 in October and 87.6 in early November.
In other reports released Wednesday, the Commerce Department said durable goods orders surged for the second month in a row in October, rising 3.3 percent.
The Chicago purchasing managers index jumped to 64.1 in November from 55.0 percent in October, far exceeding the 56.3 percent expected.
Also the Commerce Department said consumer spending was flat in October while incomes rose 0.4 percent on large gains in proprietors' incomes.
Meanwhile, new home sales slipped in October to a 1.105-million- annual pace, the fifth highest on record.
The Labor Department said the four-week average of first-time claims for unemployment benefits fell to a nearly three-year low of 358,750 in the latest week. Continuing claims also fell sharply.
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Só não consigo perceber ...
é esta valorização brutal do Euro, acho qua nada a justifica . Os dados saídos esta tarde com o abandono do PEC (Alemanhã e França) decidido unilateralmente ontem só deveriam fortalecer o dólar e não é isso que está a acontecer.
Será que os mercados cambiais estão a antever algo de sangrento lá para os States na 6ª Feira ? Será ???
Será que os mercados cambiais estão a antever algo de sangrento lá para os States na 6ª Feira ? Será ???
Xanax
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Obrigado Marco ...
Estou a estranhar este impasse, das duas três, ou começa a subir já ou então os States hoje estão á espera do fecho aqui na velha Europa para acabarem o dia em forte alta.Xanax
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Cumps
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Já sairam - 93.7 (exp94)
FLOP - Fundamental Laws Of Profit
1. Mais vale perder um ganho que ganhar uma perda, a menos que se cumpra a Segunda Lei.
2. A expectativa de ganho deve superar a expectativa de perda, onde a expectativa mede a
__.amplitude média do ganho/perda contra a respectiva probabilidade.
3. A Primeira Lei não é mesmo necessária mas com Três Leis isto fica definitivamente mais giro.
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- Mensagens: 638
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