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Noticias do fim-de-semana- 16 e 17 de Novembro 2002

Espaço dedicado a todo o tipo de troca de impressões sobre os mercados financeiros e ao que possa condicionar o desempenho dos mesmos.

I feel good

por TRSM » 17/11/2002 11:39

I feel good! tradução em português <a href="http://babelfish.altavista.com/urltrurl?lp=en_pt&url=http://money.cnn.com/2002/11/15/commentary/dobbs/dobbs/index.htm" target="tradutor">aqui</a>.

The Dow squeaked through a 6th week of gains, and economic numbers show signs of recovery.
November 15, 2002: 7:46 PM EST
By Lou Dobbs, Lou Dobbs Moneyline



NEW YORK (CNN) - I'm feeling pretty good about the market and the economy right now... and I don't think it's just because it's a Friday.

Sure, the stock market wasn't particularly strong this week, although the Dow did manage to post a sixth consecutive week of gains... barely.

The industrial production numbers were lousy... and so was the capacity utilization report. But the Michigan consumer confidence numbers were surprisingly strong... and that augers well for continued spending, and perhaps a solid holiday shopping season. And there was a report today that many took as a negative that I see as a positive.

The Producer Price Index for October came in much higher than economists had expected... even taking out the so-called volatile energy and food costs, prices went up sharply last month.

That's certainly good news in one significant sense... it means there's enough demand to permit more aggressive pricing, and that over several months would suggest a strengthening economic recovery. And that would definitely be a positive for the stock market, as well.

So, I'm feeling pretty good as we head into the weekend... I hope it's only the beginning of a better mood for all of us.
 
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Trying for higher ground

por TRSM » 17/11/2002 11:14

Trying for higher ground <a href="http://babelfish.altavista.com/urltrurl?lp=en_pt&url=http://money.cnn.com/2002/11/15/markets/sun_lookahead/index.htm"target="tradutor">aqui</a>.

The Nasdaq is just 11 points from its August high -- can it break that level in the coming week?
November 15, 2002: 6:14 PM EST
By Justin Lahart, CNN/Money Staff Writer



NEW YORK (CNN/Money) - Even baby bulls need time for reflection, of course, so even Wall Street's optimists weren't surprised by the market's recent pause. But now it's time for it to stop ruminating and get back to running.

Although stocks nudged higher in the week that just finished, none of the indexes were able to breach their highs of the month, something to watch for in the week ahead. It is the Nasdaq, in particular, that traders are keying off.

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The tech-swollen index is within spitting distance not only of its best levels so far this rally, but of the high it reached in this summer's rally. At 1,411, the Nasdaq has traveled 26 percent from the low it hit in October and is just 11 points away from the August high of 1,422.

See the Nasdaq poke above that, and there will be cheers on Wall Street.

"If that's taken out you're going to have a lot of people claim that we have bottomed," said Todd Clark, managing director of listed trading at Wells Fargo Securities. "That's the key." (And for key events in the week ahead, click here.)

Resistance is futile
So what's the big deal about getting past the summer highs in the Nasdaq? For one thing, if you look a chart of the index since it turned tail in 2000, you'll see that each recovery has never reached the high of the previous recovery. It's just a great, big pattern of lower highs followed by lower lows -- a bear market, in other words.

For the technical analysts who spend their time looking at the steaming entrails of the market, that August high on the Nasdaq is what's called "resistance" -- the level where traders decided last time (correctly) that it was a good time to sell. Breaking above that level would suggest that something about the market had changed for better.

The other reason that August high on the Nasdaq is important is that, well, everybody is looking at it.

"Technical analysis works precisely because people look at it," said Bollinger Capital Management head John Bollinger. "And if people care, I care."

Bollinger thinks the Nasdaq will punch through that August high: With all the focus, and with so many institutions very much wanting to see the rally continue, it seems like a done deal.

Key events in the week ahead

Toy's "R" Us, which reports Monday, will tell you that it's in transition, having pushed through a big remodeling program this past year to draw customers back to its stores. But critics say that no matter how much it remodels its stores, the big toy retailer's business model just doesn't work. It only makes money in the fourth (holiday) quarter, and loses money the rest of the year. Wal-Mart, on the other hand, which is taking more and more of the toy business, makes money all year long. How can Toys "R" Us compete? Analysts polled by Multex think it lost 14 cents per share in its latest quarter against last year's 22 cent loss.


Lowe's keeps picking up steam. The do-it-yourself outfit has simultaneously benefited from the surge in mortgage refinancing this past year (homeowners often spend the cash raised in a refinancing on house improvements) and disarray at competitor Home Depot. But investors keep on wondering how much longer the fun in housing can last, and so Lowe's trades below the highs it reached this summer, despite continuing to grow quickly. Analysts think it earned 40 cents a share against last year's 32 cents.


Home Depot, that other do-it-yourselfer, reports on Tuesday. Investors continue to worry about Lowe's encroachment into major metropolitan markets as well as some of the promotionalism that Home Depot has engaged in to hit sales targets. Analysts expect it earned 40 cents a share versus last year's 33 cents.


Back in the old days traders would worry the monthly Consumer Price Index would show that inflation was on the rise. These days a little more inflation would be nice -- it would mean companies were getting more pricing power and suggest the economy is pulling itself out of the mud. After Friday's unexpected jump in the Producer Price Index, the October CPI, due out Tuesday morning, could hop higher, too. Not a bad thing. Economists polled by Briefing.com expect the CPI gained 0.3 percent.


The September trade balance, out Tuesday morning, will show a big trade deficit. It's something that we've lived with for a while, of course, but with the economy's continued weakness don't be surprised if you start hearing more griping about it. U.S.-based manufacturers in particular have something to complain about. Economists expect a trade deficit of $37 billion, against August's $38.5 billion.


October housing starts and building permits are out Wednesday morning. After a big bounce in September, their pace probably moderated a bit -- economists expect starts at 1.72 million versus September's 1.84 million and permits at 1.69 million versus September's 1.73. The crack in the housing market that so many people worry about clearly hasn't come yet.


Hewlett the dogs out? Hewlett Dell continue to grab market share? Hewlett Michael Capellas step down as president? When Hewlett-Packard reports its numbers on Wednesday, investors will have lots of questions for CEO Carly Fiorina. She'll have her work cut out for her. Analysts expect the company made 22 cents a share, versus last year's 19 cents.


The index of Leading Economic Indicators for October comes out Thursday morning. Economists don't pay much heed to this one -- it's made up of a bunch of numbers that have already been released -- but nonetheless it gives a nice read on where we stand. Where we stood in October, economists think, is roughly where we stood in September. The Leading Indicators are expected to come in flat.


Investors will get their first good peek at how manufacturing is doing in November when the Philadelphia Fed's index of manufacturing activity comes out at noon, Eastern time, on Thursday. Economists reckon it will be bad, dropping 5 points, but not as bad as last month when it dropped 13.1.
 
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por Pata-Hari » 16/11/2002 21:07

LOLLLLLLLLL! vocês dão cabo de mim, lololllllllllll

roiteres e sandálias na pata.... tou feita convosco, llol.
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Olá Marco

por TRSM » 16/11/2002 19:40

Com que então uma comissãonzinha :lol:

Bem, e que tal escrevres ao Pai Natal :lol: , sabes que ele existe, e quem sabe não possas ter uma prendinha no sapatinho :lol:

Com estas novas tecnologias, tanbém podes fazer o pedido por e.mail

Tenta e pode ser que tenhas sorte, não te acanhes miudo, heheheheheh :lol:

Abraço do Pai Natal
:lol:
TRSM
 
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Roiteres & Sandálias Lda - :lol:

por TRSM » 16/11/2002 19:23

Roiteres & Sandálias Lda - :lol:

Para mostrar serviço aqui vai a unica noticia que saiu ontem depois do fecho da Agência
:lol:
Dow Jones recupera perdas com aumento da confiança; Nasdaq recua 0,07% (act)

A abertura dos índices norte-americanos foi condicionada pela divulgação recomendação de venda das acções da Intel e pela queda da produção industrial. No entanto, o índice Dow Jones subiu 0,42%, mas o Nasdaq, perto da recuperação fechou a cair 0,07%.
A pressão inicial foi sendo aliviada ao longo da sessão bolsista norte-americana de hoje, com a divulgação do índice da Universidade de Michigan, que mede a evolução da confiança dos consumidores dos Estados Unidos, que subiu mais que o esperado em Novembro, depois de no mês anterior ter caído para um mínimo desde 1993.

O Dow Jones [INDU] marcou 8.578,26 pontos e o Nasdaq [CCMP] perdeu para os 1.410,53 pontos.

Este ganho na confiança alastrou os investidores em reforçarem as compras dos títulos na Bolsa com nova expectativa de valorizações nos resultados com aumento da procura, apesar das recomendações negativas para o sector tecnológico.

A recomendação de «venda» da Merril Lynch para os títulos da operadora, penalizaram o grupo que encerrou a perder 2,76%, depois de uma valorização acima dos 6% na sessão anterior. O comportamento das empresas do sector dos «chips» também seguiram em queda depois da recomendação daquela casa norte-americana. O Nasdaq que minutos antes do final da sessão seguia a ganhar não aguentou a pressão e encerrou em queda.

A Microsoft recuou 0,53%, a IBM caiu 0,94%, com as subidas da Merck e a SBC a suportaram o índice Dow Jones.

No índice tecnológico, a Dell perdeu 3,62% em reacção aos resultados apresentados ontem. A Siebel decresceu 8,05%, tendo as valorizações da Oracle e da Lucent ajudado na recuperação do Nasdaq.

ADR da EDP cresce 2,95% no final da semana
O «American Depositary Receipt» (ADR) da Portugal Telecom (PT) fechou nos 6,36 dólares (6,30 euros), enquanto em Lisboa a empresa fechou nos 6,32 euros. Cada ADR representa uma acção da PT.

O ADR da Electricidade de Portugal (EDP) encerrou nos 17,12 dólares (16,96 euros), enquanto, em Lisboa a empresa fechou nos 1,71 euros. Cada ADR equivale a 10 acções da eléctrica nacional [EDP].


Fonte: Canal de Negócios 2002/11/15 21:19:01h
 
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por MarcoAntonio » 16/11/2002 19:10

Peço desculpa mas a Agência Noticiosa sediada em Avintes/VNG é a Agência <b>Roiteres & Sandálias Lda - Notícias em primeira pata!</b>... Não confundir com a outra, a tal Reuters, que só dá as notícias primeira mão!...

<i>PS (só para o TRSM, os outros não podem ler!)
TRSM, não te esqueças da comissão que combinamos pela publicidade!... E um par de sapatos pelo Natal tb eram bem-vindos...</i> :mrgreen:
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FLOP - Fundamental Laws Of Profit

1. Mais vale perder um ganho que ganhar uma perda, a menos que se cumpra a Segunda Lei.
2. A expectativa de ganho deve superar a expectativa de perda, onde a expectativa mede a
__.amplitude média do ganho/perda contra a respectiva probabilidade.
3. A Primeira Lei não é mesmo necessária mas com Três Leis isto fica definitivamente mais giro.
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Noticias do fim-de-semana- 16 e 17 de Novembro 2002

por Pata-Hari » 16/11/2002 15:33

Hoje não sei se a agência reuters de avintes estará aberta.. mas aqui fica o tópico :wink:
Editado pela última vez por Pata-Hari em 18/11/2002 8:18, num total de 2 vezes.
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