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por Info.... » 8/10/2004 13:40

Economist Joel Naroff says labor market 'mediocre' ( 8:42am

WASHINGTON (CBS.MW) -- The September nonfarm payroll data shows a "mediocre" labor market, said Joel Naroff, chief economist at Naroff Economic Advisors.
"There is not a whole lot of strength there," Naroff said.
His forecast of 87,000 jobs created was close to the actual 96,000 payroll gain reported by the Labor Department."
He said Q3 GDP may be strong, but it is not reflective of the underlying factors.
"We have moderate growth and a mediocre labor market, that is what this is saying," Naroff said.
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cont.

por Info.... » 8/10/2004 13:36

Dollar smacked by weaker-than-expected U.S. payrolls ( 8:39am

CHICAGO (CBS.MW) -- The dollar tumbled in the wake of a U.S. report showing a smaller-than-expected gain in September payrolls.
The dollar was quoted at 109.98 yen compared to 110.57 yen just before the report's release. The dollar is down more than 1 percent against its Japanese counterpart compared to late Thursday.
The euro was quoted at $1.2369 vs. $1.2293 before the report and is up 0.7 percent from late Thursday.
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13:30 - Dados States

por Info.... » 8/10/2004 13:28

8:29am 10/08/04 U.S. SEPT. NONFARM PAYROLLS UP 96K VS. 138K EXPECTED
8:30am 10/08/04 U.S. SEPT. AVERAGE HOURLY WAGES UP 0.2%
8:30am 10/08/04 U.S. SEPT. AVERAGE WORKWEEK UNCHANGED AT 33.8 HOURS
8:30am 10/08/04 U.S. SAYS HURRICANES HAD UNKNOWN IMPACT ON JOBS
8:30am 10/08/04 U.S. JULY, AUG. PAYROLLS REVISED DOWN 4,000
8:30am 10/08/04 U.S. 2004 BENCHMARK REVISIONS ESTIMATED AT 236,000
8:30am 10/08/04 U.S. SEPT. MANUFACTURING PAYROLLS DROP 18,000
8:30am 10/08/04 U.S. SEPT. TEMP JOBS UP 33,000
8:30am 10/08/04 U.S. SEPT. UNEMPLOYMENT RATE STEADY AT 5.4%

ECONOMIC REPORT: U.S. Sept. nonfarm payrolls up 96,000; Unemployment rate steady at 5.4%
By Rex Nutting, CBS.MarketWatch.com
Last Update: 8:31 AM ET Oct. 8, 2004

WASHINGTON (CBS.MW) - In a blow to President Bush's re-election hopes, the U.S. economy added a disappointing 96,000 jobs in September, the Labor Department estimated Friday.

The unemployment rate was steady at 5.4 percent in September. Read the full release.

In a campaign that could hinge on the state of the economy, the latest figures show four straight months of weak job growth after three strong months in the spring.

In the past 13 months, payrolls have risen by 1.8 million, although payrolls are down about 800,000 since Bush took office in early 2001.

Bush would be the first president since Herbert Hoover to show no net job growth in his term.

Economists were expecting payrolls to grow by about 138,000 in September and for the unemployment rate to remain at 5.4 percent, according to a survey conducted by CBS MarketWatch.

Gains in nonfarm payrolls in July and August were revised down by a total of 4,000. July's gain was revised higher to 85,000 while August was revised lower to 128,000.

In the past three months, payrolls have grown by an average of 103,000 after rising by an average of 295,000 per month in the spring. About 150,000 new jobs are needed each month to absorb population growth.

The government agency said it would revise or "benchmark" its payroll survey in February by an estimated 236,000 more jobs, or about 0.2 percent of employment. The benchmark revision allows the government to incorporate better data from state unemployment offices to better capture jobs created by new firms.

A series of powerful hurricanes that pummeled Florida and other Southeast states had only a minor impact on job growth, the Labor Department said.

"It is not possible to quantify precisely the net impact," the agency said. "The severe weather appears to have held down employment growth, but not enough to change materially the bureau's assessment of the employment situation."

Average hourly earnings increased 3 cents, or 0.2 percent, to $15.78. Hourly wages are up 2.4 percent in the past year.

The average workweek was steady at 33.8 hours in September. The average workweek in manufacturing fell 0.1 hours to 40.8. Manufacturing overtime was unchanged at 4.6 hours.

Aggregate hours worked in the economy increased 0.1 percent.

The household survey showed 8 million people were unemployed, down 19,000. Employment fell by 201,000 to 139.5 million.

The labor participation rate fell by a tenth to 65.9 percent while the employment-to-population ratio fell by a tenth to 62.3 percent

In September, manufacturing industries lost 18,000 jobs.

Service-producing sectors added 109,000 jobs. Government added 37,000 jobs.

Retail lost 15,000, financial added 26,000 and professional and business services added 34,000 jobs. Temporary help jobs rose by 33,000.
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