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Ebay - analise tecnica precisa-se

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Trying to Topple eBay

por Alfred E. Neuman » 26/8/2004 8:31

Trying to Topple eBay
By Rick Aristotle Munarriz (TMF Edible)


http://www.fool.com

How do you crush eBay (Nasdaq: EBAY)? The question has become mostly rhetorical at this point. You just can't topple the world's leading online auctioneer. If the dot-com magnets such as Yahoo! (Nasdaq: YHOO) and Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN) tried with their own clones and failed to draw much of an audience despite offering significantly lower fees, then are you really going to give anyone else much of a fighting chance?

As tantalizing as it may seem to have a heavy such as Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) or Google (Nasdaq: GOOG) hypothetically force its way in for a slice, it's probably not going to work. eBay's rivals couldn't catch up when eBay was much smaller, and the tall order to challenge eBay grows stilts with every passing quarter.

Indeed. Last month, the prolific Motley Fool Stock Advisor newsletter recommendation saw its second-quarter profits double while revenues shot up by 52%. So if you want to kick eBay when it's down, my best advice would be to buy a ladder.

But that doesn't mean that companies aren't carving a niche around the eBay premise of exchanging goods and services online. These players can survive -- and even thrive -- if they specialize. One of our sponsors, ex24.com, bases its trading platform on users buying and selling available stock from one another -- without the market makers in the middle. While eBay has domain names and websites for sale, it's not likely to match the popularity of the dot-com monikers being peddled on Afternic. You can argue that when it comes to secondhand books, eBay just doesn't stand a chance against Amazon's massive collection of used editions.

However, some companies have taken the eBay model one step further. Instead of exchanging money for merchandise, they have reintroduced the long-lost art of bartering. That's what BarterBee.com is doing with its service where users get to swap old CDs, DVDs, and video games for someone else's old CDs, DVDs, and video games. What are you willing to offer for one of Google's beefy Gmail accounts? The unaffiliated Gmailswap site is all ears. While many sites that promote bartering such as TradeAway seem to be populated with members that will ultimately go for a cash transaction, wouldn't it be great if eBay found a way to cash in on currency beyond legal tender?

Sure, it would make for an awkward bidding process. Granted, trust and fraud fears will escalate when two items are being crisscrossed around the country. But eBay has the garage sale market right there in its grubby little hands. It has stocked shelves worldwide collecting dust in many of its members' eBay Stores. While one can argue that eBay is better off cashing in on two separate monetary transactions -- especially since its acquisition of PayPal -- there seems to be a fragmented market out there ripe for eBay's picking.

I told you I'd marry you, eBay. I meant it. But, I'm just curious now. Exactly what is in that dowry I keep hearing so much about?


Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz has been an eBay member since the 1990s. However, he does not own shares in any of the companies mentioned in this story.
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Mensagens: 596
Registado: 11/8/2004 10:39

Sempre petiscou?

por Pato-Bravo » 25/8/2004 21:35

Caro WarrantsMen,

Como já há algum tempo que o deixei de o ver por aqui gostava de perguntar se sempre seguiu o seu palpite?

Quack
PS: A EBAY hoje tocou os 86USD!
Pato-Bravo
 

Caro visitante

por homemdoswarrants » 8/8/2004 22:06

Ainda nao chegou , mas desde ja muito obrigado.
Sempre que precise de alguma ajuda , homemdoswarrants sempre ao dispor.

Abraço e bons negocios
Naquele dia ,todo o joelho se dobrará e toda a lingua confessará:
- Que Jesus Cristo é o Senhor!
 
Mensagens: 1421
Registado: 5/9/2003 21:18

por Visitante » 8/8/2004 21:29

Mandei imagem para o seu mail. Pelo menos tentei.
Visitante
 

por Visitante » 8/8/2004 21:24

Ebay Inc. (EBAY) - Aug 6, 2004. Close: 73.76 (-0.03)

Negative Candidate (Short term) - Aug 6, 2004
Shows a weak development within a falling trend channel. A further negative development is indicated, and there is resistance against the ceiling of the trend channel. The stock has marginally broken down through the support at $ 74.30. An established break predicts a further decline. The volume balance is negative and weakens the stock in the short term. RSI diverges positively against the price, which indicates a possibility for a reaction up. The stock is overall assessed as technically negative for the short term.

Não consigo enviar gráfico. Sorry.
Visitante
 

Ebay - analise tecnica precisa-se

por homemdoswarrants » 8/8/2004 21:11

Parece ter reagido a lta com aumento de volume.
O p/e parece-me muito alto
Gap a $86

Caso se confirme esta reacçao alguem pode ajudar tecnicamnte onde estará a proxima resistencia?

É que existem warrants para esta acçao e que neste momento ja tem pouco valor temporal.
Sinto-me tentado
Obrigado
Anexos
ebay.png
ebay.png (15.99 KiB) Visualizado 452 vezes
Naquele dia ,todo o joelho se dobrará e toda a lingua confessará:
- Que Jesus Cristo é o Senhor!
 
Mensagens: 1421
Registado: 5/9/2003 21:18


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