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por Info. » 3/6/2004 12:56

ECB Keeps Benchmark Interest Rate at 2% to Support Recovery
Last Updated: June 3, 2004 07:47 EDT

June 3 (Bloomberg) -- The European Central Bank left its benchmark interest rate at a six-decade low of 2 percent to support an economic recovery in the dozen euro nations, even after oil prices pushed inflation above the bank's limit.

Faster economic growth in the first quarter and accelerating expansion in manufacturing and services have underpinned the ECB's forecast of a ``gradual'' recovery this year. Rising oil prices pose a risk to that outlook by boosting inflation above 2 percent and threatening a revival in consumer spending.

``Oil is beginning to create a dilemma for the ECB,'' said Jacques Cailloux, an economist at J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. in London. ``Oil prices that are a risk to growth on the one hand and fuel inflation on the other force the ECB to wait.'' He expects the ECB to raise interest rates in the first quarter of 2005.

The Frankfurt-based ECB has kept borrowing costs at the lowest since at least 1946 for the past year, after lowering rates seven times in two years. All 27 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News predicted the decision to leave rates unchanged today.

ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet, 61, will explain the bank's decision at a press conference at 2:30 p.m. At today's meeting, policy makers had new inflation and economic growth forecasts. The projections are scheduled to be released in the ECB's monthly report on June 10.
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BCE Mantem Tx 2,00%

por TRSM » 3/6/2004 12:48

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